破产理论在解决跨行政区河流水资源配置冲突中的应用

发布时间：2019-04-21 19:48

【摘要】：随着我国人口增长和社会经济不断发展,对水资源的需求也不断增加,同时由于气候变化的影响加大了我国的水资源压力。近年来,由于水资源分布的时空不均造成局部缺水现象愈发突出,在时间和空间维度上出现水资源处于供不应求的困境,进而发生因上下游、左右岸争水而产生的冲突。这种因水资源短缺而产生的用水冲突在跨行政区河流上尤为明显。本文尝试从管理角度,运用破产理论来解决因水资源短缺而产生的跨行政区水资源配置冲突。破产理论是现代市场运行中实现资产重组、优化资源配置,调整产业结构的一种有效工具,跨行政区河流水资源配置冲突在本质上与破产理论的研究内容相吻合,也即有限的资源在相关利益主体之间进行配置的冲突。本文采用6种经典破产方法来研究破产理论在解决跨行政区水资源配置冲突中的应用,同时提出一种新的评估破产理论应用结果稳定性的指标CPBSI并和已有文献中的稳定性指标进行对比。结果表明破产理论在解决跨行政区水资源配置冲突中具有很好的应用价值,而且本文所提出的稳定性指标也具有较好的适用性。
[Abstract]:With the population growth and socio-economic development in China, the demand for water resources is also increasing. At the same time, due to the impact of climate change, the pressure on water resources in our country is increased. In recent years, due to the uneven distribution of water resources in time and space, the phenomenon of local water shortage has become more and more prominent. In the dimension of time and space, the water resources are in short supply, and then there is a conflict between upstream and downstream, which is caused by water contention between the left and right banks. This water conflict caused by the shortage of water is particularly evident in cross-administrative rivers. This paper attempts to use bankruptcy theory to solve the conflict of water resources allocation in cross-administrative regions due to the shortage of water resources from the point of view of management. Bankruptcy theory is an effective tool to realize the reorganization of assets, optimize the allocation of resources and adjust the industrial structure in the operation of the modern market. In essence, the conflict of river water resources allocation in cross-administrative regions is consistent with the research content of bankruptcy theory. That is, limited resources in the relevant stakeholders in the allocation of conflict. In this paper, six classical ruin methods are used to study the application of bankruptcy theory in solving the conflict of water resources allocation among different administrative regions. At the same time, a new index CPBSI for evaluating the stability of the application results of ruin theory is proposed and compared with that of the previous literatures. The results show that the bankruptcy theory has a good application value in solving the conflict of water resources allocation in cross-administrative regions, and the stability index proposed in this paper is also of good applicability.
【作者单位】：河海大学水文水资源与水利工程科学国家重点实验室;河海大学管理科学研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重大项目“变化环境下水资源冲突管理研究”(编号:71433003) 国家社会科学基金青年项目“多尺度耦合下水生态系统服务价值测度及政策路径选择研究”(编号:14CGL030);国家社会科学基金重大项目“保障经济、生态和国家安全的最严格水资源管理制度体系研究”(编号:12&ZD214) 教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目“流域初始二维水权合作定价机制及建模研究”(编号:20130094120022) 江苏省研究生科研创新计划项目“流域跨行政区水污染冲突双层协商模型建模研究”(编号:CXZZ13_0272) 河海大学中央高校基本科研业务费项目(编号:2013B04714)
【分类号】：TV213.4

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