大型社会活动安全风险指标体系研究

发布时间：2018-04-01 01:07

本文选题：大型社会活动　切入点：安全风险评估　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2008年硕士论文

【摘要】： 近年来,我国大型社会活动规模不断扩大,数量逐年提高,而相应的法律制度、管理体系、人们的安全意识,以及针对大型活动的安全研究未能跟上发展的要求,从而使活动风险相应增加;而有效的风险管理是建立在对各种具体风险的充分认识的基础之上的,因而认识各种风险了解其产生的原因和可能导致的后果,对实施有效的风险管理具有基础性的作用,加强大型活动安全研究成为迫切所需的工作。本论文将风险评估理论引入到大型活动安全风险评价中,对大型活动的主要风险、风险因素、风险评价模型、风险控制措施进行了研究。本文首先对大型社会活动自身性质进行研究,概括了大型活动的定义、分类及特点,阐述了大型社会活动的安全目标。对其风险评价方法进行了选择,介绍并比较了大型活动评价常用理论。对大型社会活动近年来的主要事故风险发生频率和后果进行了分析统计,归纳出四种主要风险类型,并在此基础上,从环境、人、管理、设备设施等放方面出发,深入分析具体的风险因素。结合中国的实际情况,本文建立了包括自然因素、人的因素、设备设施、管理因素等4个一级指标,10个二级指标,28个三级指标的大型社会活动评价指标体系;并应用层次分析、模糊评价方法建立了大型活动安全评价体系。本论文的开展对于大型活动风险评估、控制、管理提供了依据,对大型活动的事故预防、应急处理和控制具有借鉴和参考价值。
[Abstract]:In recent years , the scale of large - scale social activities in our country has been constantly expanding , the number is increasing year by year , and the corresponding legal system , management system , people ' s safety consciousness , and the security research aiming at large - scale activities have not kept up with the development requirement , so that the risk of activity is increased correspondingly ; and the effective risk management is based on the full understanding of the specific risks . Therefore , the risk assessment theory is introduced into the evaluation of large - scale activities safety risk , and the main risks , risk factors , risk evaluation models and risk control measures of large - scale activities are studied .

This paper first studies the nature of large - scale social activities , summarizes the definition , classification and characteristics of large - scale activities , expounds the security objectives of large - scale social activities , analyzes the risk evaluation methods , introduces and compares the common theories of large - scale activity evaluation , analyzes the frequency and consequence of major accident risks in recent years , sums up the four main types of risk , and analyzes the specific risk factors from aspects of environment , man , management and equipment facilities .

Combined with the actual situation of China , this paper sets up a large - scale social activity evaluation index system including natural factors , human factors , equipment facilities , management factors and so on , and establishes a large - scale activity safety evaluation system by using analytic hierarchy analysis and fuzzy evaluation method .

This paper provides a basis for large - scale activity risk assessment , control and management , which can be used for reference and reference for accident prevention , emergency treatment and control of large - scale activities .

【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2008
【分类号】：D631.4

【引证文献】