冷战以来朝鲜半岛局势的演变与驻韩美军的未来

发布时间：2018-05-02 03:51

本文选题：韩美同盟 + 朝鲜半岛统一　；参考：《复旦大学》2004年博士论文

【摘要】：朝鲜半岛是美日中俄的利益和影响最密集的交汇点,世界上没有任何地方受大国的影响可与之相比。朝鲜半岛的近代史清楚地证明了这一点。但是本文的研究反对将朝鲜半岛看作因变量,作者认为朝鲜半岛局势是一个影响地区和国际结构动态的自变量。基于冷战对立而造成的韩美同盟,使得两国关系在整个冷战时期都处于极不正常的状态之下。以“驻韩美军”为主要象征的韩美两国之间的非对称关系正确地反映了朝鲜战争后的朝鲜半岛局势以及韩美两国之间力量对比的客观情况。但目前客观情况已有了很大的变化。随着南北之间的缓和,特别是南北首脑会议后,这种趋势更加明显,作为驻韩美军驻军的直接原因的“朝鲜的战争威胁论”已在很大程度上减少。大部分韩国民众不再把朝鲜看成实实在在的“威胁”,其次,随着国际经济的相互依存越来越增加,军事安全因素的价值日渐减少。此外,韩国综合国力不断发展。过去的“非对称性”韩美关系丧失了内部动力。韩美两国应摆脱非对称性的关系而走向对称性的两国关系。驻韩美军问题并不只是一个单纯的军事问题,而是一个带有全局性意义的战略性问题, 是美国对于未来东北亚地区乃至整个亚太地区安全战略的一种总体规划。决定驻韩美军未来走向的因素有朝鲜半岛统一的过程、美国的世界战略、周边大国对驻韩美军的态度、韩国民众的反美情绪以及在东北亚地区建立安全合作机制的过程等。在这种分析的基础上,本文对驻韩美军未来走向进行探讨。本文在承认美国是唯一超级大国的前提下,认为韩国的安全与防务是可以自主的。但是本文试图克服以民族主义为主的主观主义观点。本文作者也不是主张美军不现实地立即从韩国撤退,而是从统一后韩国如何实现自主外交的长远目标的角度来力求利用新的思维,寻求一种新的方案。本文认为:在解决驻韩美军问题时,韩国应该努力寻求多边合作安全模式作为替代。在朝鲜半岛实现统一或者建立东北亚安全合作机制后,驻韩美军应该撤离。但如果统一韩国与美国通过协商承认该地区的美军的作用,那么其驻军的形式应为美军获准使用韩国的军事基地。
[Abstract]:The Korean Peninsula is the most concentrated intersection between the United States, Japan, China and Russia. There is no place in the world under the influence of big powers.
The modern history of the Korean Peninsula clearly proves this point. However, the study of this article is against the Korean Peninsula.
As a dependent variable, the author believes that the situation on the Korean Peninsula is an independent variable that affects the dynamics of regional and international structures.
The Korean American alliance, based on the Cold War confrontation, made the two countries' relations extremely abnormal in the whole cold war era.
Under the situation, the asymmetrical relationship between Korea and the United States, which is the main symbol of the US armed forces, correctly reflects the post Korean War.
The situation on the Korean Peninsula and the objective comparison of the strength contrast between Korea and the United States.
With the easing of the north and south, especially after the North South Summit, this trend is more obvious, as the garrison of the US troops stationed in Korea.
The direct cause of the "war threat theory of North Korea" has been largely reduced. Most Koreans no longer regard North Korea as a matter of fact.
The real threat is, secondly, with the increasing interdependence of international economy, the value of military security factors.
Gradually, the comprehensive national strength of South Korea has been developing. The past "asymmetric" relationship between South Korea and the United States has lost its internal power.
The United States and the United States should move out of the asymmetric relationship and move towards the symmetrical bilateral relations.
The issue of US troops in Korea is not just a purely military issue, but a strategic issue with overall significance.
It is a general plan of the United States for the future security strategy of Northeast Asia and the whole Asia Pacific region.
The factors that lead to the Korean Peninsula are the unification of the Korean Peninsula, the United States' world strategy and the attitude of the neighboring powers to the US armed forces, Han Guomin.
The anti American sentiment and the process of establishing a security cooperation mechanism in Northeast Asia are analyzed in this paper.
The future trend of US troops in Korea is discussed. In recognition of the fact that the United States is the only superpower, this article considers South Korea's security and
Defense is autonomous. But this article attempts to overcome nationalism based subjectivism.
Zhang Meijun unrealistically withdrew from Korea immediately, but from the perspective of the long-term goal of South Korea's independent diplomacy after reunification.
In order to solve the problem of US troops in Korea, we should strive for new ideas.
Seeking multilateral cooperation security mode as an alternative.
The US military should withdraw, but if it unify South Korea and the United States through consultations to recognize the role of the US forces in the area, then its garrison will be stationed.
The US military should be allowed to use South Korea's military base.

【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2004
【分类号】：D731

【引证文献】