论中国的人口复兴

发布时间：2018-01-02 02:05

本文关键词：论中国的人口复兴　出处：《北京大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2016年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：低生育目标的实现伴随着人口问题的转型。中国在过去几十年里已经从增长过快型人口问题转向结构失衡型人口问题,从体制约束型人口问题转向政策诱发型人口问题,从多子早子化人口问题转向少子晚子化人口问题。中国早已掉入"低生育陷阱"。持续的低生育和人口衰退已经成为中国人口的新常态,这一新常态对中华民族的伟大复兴构成了巨大的挑战。低生育、少子化和高龄化会形成三个恶性循环,即低生育内卷化的惯性循环,年轻人口减少和年轻人口流失的亏损循环,老年高龄化和人口少子化之间的恶性循环。确保人口可持续发展、实现人口优化发展是国家应该肩负起的重大历史责任。人口复兴是中华民族复兴的重要条件和目标,进而提出了人口复兴的主张和建议。
[Abstract]:The low fertility goals along with the transformation of the population problem. China in the past few decades have been from the rapid growth of population type steering structure imbalance type population problem, from the institutional constraint problem of population policy shift induced population problem from multi sub population problems to early late of minority population. Chinese already fall into the "low fertility trap". For the low fertility and population decline has become the new normal China population, the new normal is a huge challenge to the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. The low fertility, low birthrate and aging will form three vicious spiral, inertial cyclic low birth involution, young population decline and young population loss and loss of circulation, the elderly population of between. Ensure the vicious spiral of population sustainable development, realize the optimal population development is that the state should shoulder the major Historical responsibility. The rejuvenation of the population is an important condition and goal for the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, and then puts forward the ideas and suggestions of the rejuvenation of the population.

【作者单位】：北京大学人口研究所;
【分类号】：C924.24
【正文快照】： 人口问题观决定人口治理观,中国对人口形势要作出明晰准确、有历史洞察力的评判和预判,否则传统的以数为本的人口治理模式难以与时俱进。国内人口学界的主流观点认为,中国所面临的人口问题主要已经不是总量太大的问题,过低的生育率和失衡的老龄化凸显而出,正持续成为中国人口

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