北京市人口、经济和环境协调性评价研究

发布时间：2018-01-08 15:32

本文关键词：北京市人口、经济和环境协调性评价研究　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：人口、经济和环境的协调发展是实现首都可持续发展的关键所在，目前学术界对首都这一领域的研究甚少。本文采用主成分法对北京市人口、经济和环境系统进行综合评价，通过建立变异系数协调度模型对北京市1996-2010年协调度进行定量分析。结果表明，1996年以来北京市人口、经济和环境协调度呈上升趋势，协调指数从0.61升至2010年0.73，系统间的协调状况也从初等协调向中等协调转变。总体来看，这些年北京市的协调度在不断提高，但协调水平仍然不高。北京市人口、经济和环境协调程度变化可以分为两个阶段：第一阶段：（1996-2003）稳定的低水平协调。这一时期，人口、经济和环境系统协调度一直维持在0.61-0.63的区间内，只有在1997、1999年出现小幅上升。在1996-1999出现短期波动后，2000-2003年，协调度出现小幅下降；第二阶段：（2003-2010）稳步提高期。这一时期北京市的人口经济和资源环境协调程度在稳步提高，协调度从0.62提高到0.73。未来北京市仍需注重提高劳动者素质，，提升人口发展水平；继续转变经济增长方式和巩固环境治理效果。
[Abstract]:The coordinated development of population, economy and environment is the key to realize the sustainable development of the capital. At present, there is very little research in the field of the capital in academic circles. In this paper, the principal component method is applied to the population of Beijing. Based on the comprehensive evaluation of economic and environmental systems, the coordination degree of Beijing from 1996 to 2010 was quantitatively analyzed by setting up a model of coordination degree of variation coefficient. The results show that the population of Beijing has been in the city since 1996. The degree of economic and environmental coordination is on the rise, the coordination index is rising from 0. 61 to 0. 73 in 2010, and the coordination situation among the systems is also changing from elementary coordination to medium coordination. In recent years, the degree of coordination in Beijing has been improving, but the level of coordination is still not high. The change of population, economy and environment coordination in Beijing can be divided into two stages: Stage 1: 1996-2003) stable low level coordination. During this period, the coordination of population, economic and environmental systems has been maintained in the range of 0.61-0.63. It was only in 1997 and 1999 that there was a small increase. After the short-term fluctuation from 1996 to 1999, the degree of coordination decreased slightly from 2000 to 2003. In the second stage, the level of coordination between population, economy, resources and environment in Beijing has been steadily improved, from 0.62 to 0.73. In the future, Beijing still needs to pay attention to improve the quality of workers, improve the level of population development, continue to change the mode of economic growth and consolidate the effect of environmental governance.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：X24;F127;C924.2

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