马里人口增长及其影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-01-18 07:15

本文关键词：马里人口增长及其影响因素研究　出处：《首都经济贸易大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：二十世纪中叶,马里有约500万居民,而这个数字在20世纪末增长到了1500万,在未来的二十一世纪,马里的人口似乎将要经历一个空前的膨胀。本文试图总结马里人口膨胀的影响因素,并探讨人口增长的理论框架,将人口作为因变量,而社会经济作为独立变量,利用统计回归模型进行分析。分析表明,社会经济因素是影响马里人口增长的主要因素,近年来死亡率的降低使预期寿命增加,以及未来预期的生育率持续走高,使马里的人口将有可能在本世纪暴增,这会导致马里年龄结构年轻化,使人口金字塔底端变宽。本研究也表明,社会经济因素、女人的教育程度、是否采取避孕等方面都会影响马里的总生育率水平和人口发展趋势。
[Abstract]:In the middle of 20th century, Mali had about 5 million inhabitants, and that number rose to 15 million at the end of 20th century, in the coming 21th century. Mali's population seems to be going through an unprecedented expansion. This paper attempts to summarize the impact of Mali's population expansion, and explore the theoretical framework of population growth, taking population as a dependent variable. Social economy, as an independent variable, is analyzed by statistical regression model. The analysis shows that socio-economic factors are the main factors affecting Mali's population growth, and that the reduction of mortality rate in recent years has increased life expectancy. The continued high fertility rate expected in the future will make it possible for Mali's population to surge in this century, which will lead to a younger age structure in Mali and widen the bottom of the population pyramid. Social and economic factors, women's educational level, contraceptive use and so on will affect Mali's total fertility rate and demographic trends.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：C924.448

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