广州市流动人口四种迁移意愿的统计分析

发布时间：2018-01-18 16:14

本文关键词：广州市流动人口四种迁移意愿的统计分析　出处：《统计与决策》2016年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：国家新型城镇化规划提出了要提高人口城镇化率,这必须要考虑流动人口的迁移意愿。长期以来广州市吸引了大量外来人口就业、居住,2014年又被列入国家新型城镇化试点城市。广州市流动人口动态监测数据表明:社会资本和人力资本都比较缺乏的流动人口一般无长期居留意愿也无户籍迁移意愿;人力资本和社会资本都比较高的人既有长期居留意愿也有户籍迁移意愿;相对于非农业流动人口而言,农业户口流动人口更渴望将户籍迁入城市,但他们并没有长期居留城市的打算;在广州社会参与程度较高的流动人口,以及来自省内的流动人口,他们长期居留城市但不落户的意愿更强烈。对流动人口的迁移不能采取"一刀切"的做法,要根据流动人口的实际意愿采取不同的引导措施。
[Abstract]:The national new urbanization plan proposed to improve the rate of population urbanization, which must take into account the migration willingness of the floating population. For a long time, Guangzhou has attracted a large number of immigrants to work and live. In 2014, it was listed as the national pilot city of new urbanization. The data of dynamic monitoring of floating population in Guangzhou show that:. The floating population, which is short of both social capital and human capital, generally has no long-term residence intention and no intention to migrate to the household register. The people with higher human capital and social capital have both long-term residence intention and the intention to migrate to the household register. Compared with the non-agricultural floating population, the floating population of agricultural hukou is more eager to move the household registration into the city, but they do not have the intention of staying in the city for a long time. The floating population with a higher level of social participation in Guangzhou, as well as the floating population from the province, have a stronger desire to stay in the city for a long time but do not settle in the city. They cannot adopt a "one-size-fits-all" approach to the migration of the floating population. Different guiding measures should be taken according to the actual wishes of the floating population.
【作者单位】：广州大学公共管理学院;华南师范大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(12AZD026)
【分类号】：C924.2
【正文快照】： 0引言《国家新型城镇化规划》(2014—2020)指出我国人的城镇化慢于土地城镇化,并提出了到2020年“常住人口城镇化率要达到60%左右,户籍人口城镇化率达到45%左右”。人的城镇化要达到规定的目标,必须考虑流动人口的迁移意愿。在流入地长期居留与将户口迁入流入地是有区别的。选

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