公共产品配置对人口迁移的作用研究

发布时间：2018-02-27 10:50

本文关键词： 人口迁移公共产品财政支出引力模型　出处：《东北师范大学》2012年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：公共产品配置对人口迁移的作用是关系民生与区域经济的重要问题。一方面选择不同的迁移地点对人们的收入和生活，乃至子女的未来都有着重要的影响，另一方面人口的集聚尤其是创新人才的集聚也有利于区域的发展。所以从政府合理配置公共资源角度研究人口迁移问题，不但有利于合理导向人口的流动，使其成为促进区域经济协调发展的重要因素，同时也体现了公共服务型政府以民生为本的管理思想。目前，我国较大的区域差距既表现在宏观的经济增长指标上，也表现在居民收入、就业机会、基础服务、开放度等方面。在不同的时期，这些因素对人口迁移的影响也在不断变化，以往的研究更多考量的是区域之间的经济发展水平、工资收入和就业机会对人口迁移的影响，而随着经济与社会的发展，区域在基础服务、开放度等方面对人的吸引也在逐渐增强。所以本文的研究目的有二：一是探索公共产品、人口迁移与区域经济协调发展的作用机制，为合理配置公共产品提供理论依据；二是构建公共产品配置对人口迁移作用的理论模型并加以验证，考察公共产品配置对人口迁移的作用程度及方式。基于以上目的，，本文采用理论分析与定性分析相结合，统计性描述、定量分析与微观调查相结合，规范分析与政策分析相结合的方式，系统分析我国公共产品配置对人口迁移的作用，其主要研究内容如下：一是公共产品配置对人口迁移作用的理论阐释，该内容主要是对国内外人口迁移、公共产品的理论和文献研究进行梳理，并对本研究涉及的人口迁移和公共产品的概念与内涵进行科学界定，为整篇论文奠定理论基础和研究范式。二是公共产品、人口迁移与区域经济协调发展关系的理论构建。通过理论研究综述，分析公共产品配置、人口迁移对区域经济协调发展积极作用，提出通过优化配置公共产品引导人口合理迁移促进区域协调发展的理论模型，进一步明确本研究的理论与现实意义。三是研究我国人口迁移与公共产品配置在省际尺度上的特征与耦合关系，针对我国人口迁移与公共产品配置的演变过程进行统计性描述，并在此基础上对各省进行聚类比较，分析人口迁移与公共产品配置的时空耦合程度，突出公共产品配置对人口迁移的作用。四是区域公共产品配置对人口迁移作用的实证研究与机理分析，该内容在分析影响人口迁移各因素的基础上，确定人口迁移的影响因子，并借鉴引力模型，建立回归方程。并以我国省际人口迁移数据及各省公共支出数据为依托，运用固定效应模型对回归方程进行验证分析，阐释在人口迁移的诸多影响因素中，区域公共产品配置状况的作用程度。此外，本论文还采用了微观调查的方式对制度型公共产品进行考察，其结果可在一定程度上佐证制度型公共产品对人口迁移的作用。最后，根据理论分析与定量分析的结果，本文做出了我国目前公共产品对人口迁移影响程度判断，并预测其未来的作用趋势，为政府制定相关的政策提供参考和建议。
[Abstract]:The role of public product configuration on population migration is an important problem of the relationship between people ' s livelihood and regional economy . On the one hand , it is important to choose different migration places to influence people ' s income and life , and even the future of children . The purpose of this paper is to explore the role of public goods , population migration and regional economic co - ordination development , to provide theoretical basis for rational allocation of public goods , and to prove the extent and means of public product configuration to population migration . Based on the above objects , this paper uses the combination of theoretical analysis and qualitative analysis , combines the statistical description , quantitative analysis and microscopic investigation , and systematically analyzes the effect of public product configuration on population migration . The main research contents are as follows : One is the theoretical explanation of the role of public product configuration on population migration , which is mainly to comb the theory and literature of population migration and public goods at home and abroad , and scientifically define the concept and connotation of population migration and public goods involved in this study , and lay a theoretical foundation and research paradigm for the whole thesis . The second is the theory construction of the relationship between public goods , population migration and regional economic coordinated development . Through theoretical research , the author analyzes the positive effects of public product configuration and population migration on regional economic coordinated development , and puts forward the theoretical model of promoting rational migration of population to promote regional coordinated development by optimizing the allocation of public goods , and further clarifies the theory and practical significance of this study . The third is to study the characteristics and coupling relationship between population migration and public product configuration on the provincial scale , to describe the evolution process of population migration and public product configuration in China , and to analyze the spatial - temporal coupling degree of population migration and public product configuration , and to highlight the role of public product configuration on population migration . Based on the analysis of population migration data and public expenditure data , this paper uses fixed - effect model to analyze the regression equation . Finally , according to the theoretical analysis and quantitative analysis results , this paper makes a decision on the impact degree of public goods on population migration and predicts its future role trend , and provides reference and advice for the government to formulate relevant policies .

【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：C924.2;F124;F224

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