中国人口生育意愿与男孩偏好研究

发布时间：2018-03-16 12:36

本文选题：生育意愿　切入点：男孩偏好　出处：《人口学刊》2017年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文基于"四川省促进出生人口性别结构平衡问卷"的调查数据对育龄人群的生育意愿与男孩偏好关系进行实证检验。结果显示,所调查育龄群体的理想子女数约1.8个;男孩偏好发生概率具有明显的地区、人口特征,民族属性、家人想法、对生育政策知晓情况以及养老方式等变量对男孩偏好的影响显著。分析认为,这是个体所处环境对其影响作用所致。因此,政府应借助各类传播媒介,利用人际传播和大众传播等方式,加大对人口现状及生育政策等知识的宣传,扩大新型生育观念普及面,通过减弱男孩偏好逐步实现出生人口性别比结构平衡。除此之外,"一儿一女"的生育偏好普遍存在,全面二孩生育政策虽然满足了婚育家庭的生育需求,但有可能激发一孩是女孩的家庭的男孩偏好,打击"两非"仍是未来人口工作重点。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of Sichuan Provincial questionnaire for promoting the gender balance of birth population, this paper makes an empirical test on the relationship between reproductive desire and boys' preference. The results show that the ideal number of children in the population of childbearing age is about 1.8; The incidence rate of boys' preference has obvious influence on the boys' preference, such as regions, population characteristics, ethnic attributes, family thoughts, knowledge of the fertility policy and the way of providing for the aged. This is due to the impact of the individual environment on it. Therefore, the government should increase the publicity of the population status and reproductive policy by means of various media, interpersonal and mass media. Expanding the popularity of new fertility concepts and gradually achieving a structural balance of the sex ratio of the birth population by reducing the preference of boys. In addition, the fertility preference of "one son and one daughter" is widespread. Although the comprehensive policy of two-child fertility meets the reproductive needs of families with marriage and childbearing, it is likely to stimulate the preference of boys in families where one child is a girl, and to crack down on "two illegitimate" is still the focus of population work in the future.
【作者单位】：西南财经大学人口研究所;北京交通大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金:中国西部地区第二次人口红利及其生成机制研究(14BRK027)
【分类号】：C924.21

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