吉林省人口分布空间演变与经济发展相关关系研究

发布时间：2018-03-17 07:17

本文选题：人口分布　切入点：经济发展　出处：《吉林大学》2011年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济持续增长,人口分布与区域经济格局发生了相应的变化,区域间的差异也呈现不断扩大的态势。作为我国重要商品粮基地和东北地区老工业基地之一,吉林省的发展相对缓慢,在全国处于较为落后的地位,不仅与其他地区之间的差距不断扩大,而且吉林省内部也存在着较为突出的发展不平衡问题。近几年来吉林省的人口总数和经济一直保持着增长的趋势。人口就业结构和全省的经济格局也在逐渐地趋于合理化,即第一产业就业人口和GDP比重逐渐下降,第二产业和第三产业就业人口和GDP比重在逐渐上升。但是必须看到,全省就业人口总数正在减少,这对于经济发展是极为不利的。同时各地级市之间的人口分布情况和经济发展情况又是存在差异的。吉林省的经济发展与人口分布之间有着密切的联系。吉林省经济发展决定着人口分布的变化。通过对吉林省及各地级市的锡尔系数T与锡尔系数L进行解析发现,吉林省经济发展与人口的总体差异在很大程度上是由组内差异决定的,即是由各县级市之间的经济发展差异和人口分布差异决定的,而且吉林省经济发展的差异要明显大于人口分布的差异,这说明吉林省的经济发展与人口分布都存在着不平衡性,这种不平衡性是由县级市之间的经济发展差异和人口分布差异决定的。虽然这种不平衡性正在缓慢改善,但从现阶段来看,人口分布与经济发展不平衡的矛盾仍然较为突出。人口重心与经济重心是反映一国或地区人口分布与经济格局状况的重要指标。多年来,吉林省人口重心与经济重心的变动一直存在着不平衡问题,并且其偏离程度较大,这说明吉林省经济发展与人口分布之间一直存在着矛盾,而且经济重心的演变轨迹要比人口重心的演变轨迹复杂。同时,从吉林省分产业的人口重心和经济重心的变化来看,吉林省的经济格局正在趋于合理化,但是从事三大产业的就业人口却都在减少,这对于经济发展是不利的。就业人口的减少与吉林省劳动力的外流和吉林省人口老龄化发展是有关系的,经济要想长远发展,就必须解决就业人口减少的问题。另外,从吉林省经济重心移动轨迹来看,其东西方向的不平衡性要远远大于南北方向的不平衡性,说明吉林省东西发展差距要远大于南北发展差距。综合吉林省经济发展和人口分布的锡尔系数解析与人口重心和经济重心变动研究的结果可以看出,吉林省的经济发展与人口分布之间一直处于矛盾状态,从长远来看,人口分布与经济发展的不平衡会阻碍经济发展,所以,必须解决两者之间的矛盾,促进二者和谐发展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has continued to grow, the population distribution and the regional economic pattern have changed accordingly, and the regional differences have also shown a trend of expanding. As an important commodity grain base in China and one of the old industrial bases in Northeast China, The development of Jilin Province is relatively slow, in a relatively backward position in the whole country, not only the gap between Jilin Province and other regions is widening, but also there is a more prominent development imbalance problem in Jilin Province. In recent years, the total population and economy of Jilin Province have maintained a growing trend. The employment structure of the population and the economic pattern of the province are also gradually rationalizing, that is, the proportion of the employed population and the proportion of GDP in the primary industry is gradually decreasing. The proportion of the employed population and GDP in the secondary and tertiary industries is gradually rising. However, it must be noted that the total number of employed people in the province is decreasing. At the same time, there are differences in population distribution and economic development among prefectural cities. There is a close relationship between the economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province, which determines the change of population distribution. By analyzing the Sier coefficient T and the Sier coefficient L of Jilin Province and other prefectural cities, it is found that the economic development of Jilin Province determines the change of population distribution. The overall difference between economic development and population in Jilin Province is to a large extent determined by the differences within the group, that is, by the differences in economic development and population distribution among county-level cities. Moreover, the difference in economic development in Jilin Province is obviously greater than the difference in population distribution, which shows that there is an imbalance between economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province. This imbalance is determined by the difference in economic development and population distribution between county-level cities. Although the imbalance is slowly improving, the contradiction between population distribution and economic development is still prominent at the present stage. Population center of gravity and economic center of gravity are important indicators to reflect the population distribution and economic pattern of a country or region. For many years, the change of population center of gravity and economic center of gravity in Jilin Province has been unbalanced and deviated greatly. This shows that there has always been a contradiction between economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province, and the evolution track of economic center of gravity is more complicated than that of population center of gravity. The economic structure of Jilin Province is being rationalized, but the number of employed people engaged in the three major industries is decreasing. This is unfavorable to economic development. The decrease in the number of employed people is related to the outflow of labor force from Jilin Province and the aging population of Jilin Province. If the economy wants to develop in the long run, it must solve the problem of reducing the number of employed people. From the point of view of the moving track of the economic center of gravity in Jilin Province, the imbalance in the east-west direction is far greater than that in the north-south direction, which indicates that the east-west development gap in Jilin Province is much larger than that in the north-south direction. Based on the analysis of the Sier coefficient of economic development and population distribution in Jilin Province and the results of the study on the population center of gravity and the change of economic gravity center, we can see that the economic development and population distribution of Jilin Province have always been in a state of contradiction. In the long run, The imbalance between population distribution and economic development will hinder economic development, so we must solve the contradiction between them and promote their harmonious development.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2011
【分类号】：C924.2;F127

【引证文献】