“全面二孩”政策下城市居民生育现状及意愿分析——以浙江省金华市调查为例

发布时间：2018-03-17 06:21

本文选题：“全面二胎”政策　切入点：成本—效用理论　出处：《调研世界》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章基于莱宾斯坦的孩子成本—效用理论,建立二孩效用和成本压力量表,在"全面二孩"政策下,对浙江省金华市育龄人员生育二孩意愿现状展开调查,通过卡方检验和二元Logistic回归分析找出影响生育二孩意愿的因素,以及已生育二孩的育龄者与没有生育二孩的育龄者间的特征差异。研究结果表明,金华市有35.41%的育龄者已生育二孩,生育二孩育龄者与一孩育龄者间在学历、家庭月收入、一孩的性别等多项指标上存在显著性差异。有42%的一孩育龄者有生二孩的意愿,生育二孩的动力主要是为了孩子有伴、减少教育失败、避免失独风险以及缓解养老压力等,不愿意生育二孩原因主要是经济与家庭关系压力。
[Abstract]:Based on Leibstein's theory of cost-utility of children, this paper establishes the second child utility and cost stress scale, and under the policy of "comprehensive second-child", investigates the present situation of childbearing age people's desire to have a second child in Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province. Through chi-square test and binary Logistic regression analysis, we find out the factors that influence the willingness to have a second child, and the differences between the childbearing age and the childbearing age without a second child. In Jinhua City, 35.41% of the children of childbearing age have already given birth to two children, and there are significant differences in educational background, monthly income of the family, sex of one child and so on between those who have two children and those who have one child. There are 42% people of one-child childbearing age who have the desire to have two children. The motive force of having a second child is to have a partner, to reduce the failure of education, to avoid the risk of losing independence and to ease the pressure on the aged. The main reason for the reluctance to have a second child is the pressure of economic and family relations.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学浙江学院公共基础部;上海财经大学浙江学院统计系;
【分类号】：C924.21

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