流动人口长期居留意愿的新特征及影响机制

发布时间：2018-03-19 23:14

本文选题：流动人口　切入点：长期居留意愿　出处：《人口研究》2017年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：文章根据2015年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,运用二元Logistic模型对流动人口在城市的长期居留意愿进行分析,发现个体特征、人力资本特征、经济特征共同影响流动人口在城市的长期居留意愿,并使得这一群体内部出现了分化的新特征。研究表明:教育程度的提高在普遍增强个体留城意愿的同时,以大学专科学历为界限,高学历者呈现出更加强烈的居留意愿。收入水平的增加显著影响了整个群体的居留意愿,以6000元收入水平为分界点,表现为高收入流动人口的城市居留意愿远大于中低收入者。在追加了住房支出变量后,发现伴随着住房支出的增加提高了流动人口的城市居留意愿,但同时又对高收入流动人口的长期居留意愿表现出抑制作用。
[Abstract]:Based on the survey data of floating population dynamics in China in 2015, this paper analyzes the long-term residence intention of floating population in cities by using dual Logistic model, and finds out the characteristics of individual and human capital. The economic characteristics affect the long-term residence intention of the floating population in the city, and make the new characteristics of differentiation appear within this group. The research shows that the improvement of the education level generally increases the individual's willingness to stay in the city at the same time. With a college degree as the limit, people with a higher degree have a stronger desire to stay. The increase in income level has significantly affected the residence intention of the whole group, with the income level of 6,000 yuan as the dividing point. The urban residence intention of the high income floating population is much larger than that of the middle and low income population. After adding the housing expenditure variable, it is found that with the increase of the housing expenditure, the urban residence intention of the floating population is improved. At the same time, the long-term residence intention of high-income floating population is restrained.
【作者单位】：吉林大学东北亚研究院人口资源与环境研究所;吉林大学东北亚研究院;
【分类号】：C922

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