人口流动对农村人口老龄化的影响研究——基于“五普”和“六普”数据分析

发布时间：2018-03-23 01:25

本文选题：农村人口老龄化　切入点：人口流动　出处：《人口学刊》2013年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：我国农村人口老龄化程度和提高的速度全面超越了城市,这与当前的人口城市化进程密切相关。人口流动的年龄选择性,使得农村流出人口平均年龄和老年人口比例都远低于农村人口整体水平。流动人口内部在不断地"更新",年轻的流动人口不断替代年老的流动人口,从而保持较年轻的年龄结构,这种人口流动的年龄选择性加速了农村人口老龄化。通过人口老龄化模型的进一步分析发现,在2000～2010年间,农村人口自然老化速度基本保持稳定。而随着农村流动人口的增加,其对农村人口老龄化速度的影响从2000～2005年间的0.031岁/年增加到2006～2010年间的0.07岁/年;农村流出人口对农村人口平均年龄增加的贡献也从8.04%上升到16.91%,人口流动已成为农村人口老龄化的重要推动力。从人口流动的角度,需要关注农村留守老人的照料问题,进一步完善农村社会保障体系以及解决如何让流动人口在城市沉淀下来等问题。
[Abstract]:The aging degree and increasing speed of the rural population in our country have completely exceeded the urban population, which is closely related to the current urbanization process. As a result, the average age of the rural outflow population and the proportion of the elderly population are far lower than the overall level of the rural population. The floating population is constantly "updated" within the population, and the young floating population is constantly replacing the elderly migrant population. In order to maintain a younger age structure, the age selectivity of this population mobility accelerates the aging of the rural population. Further analysis of the population aging model shows that between 2000 and 2010, The natural aging rate of rural population is basically stable, but with the increase of rural floating population, its impact on the aging rate of rural population has increased from 0.031 years / year in 2000-2005 to 0.07 years / year in 2006 / 10; The contribution of rural outflow population to the increase of average age of rural population has also risen from 8.04% to 16.91%. Population mobility has become an important driving force for the aging of rural population. From the perspective of population flow, attention should be paid to the care of the elderly left behind in rural areas. Further improve the rural social security system and solve the problem of how to let the floating population settle down in the city.
【作者单位】：中国人民公安大学治安学院;河北农业大学商学院;
【分类号】：C924.24

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