浙江省人口综合素质及其与经济发展关联性研究

发布时间：2018-03-29 09:45

本文选题：综合评价　切入点：主成分分析　出处：《浙江工商大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：人口素质是经济发展的坚实基础,并且与社会稳定及文明延续间存在至关重要的联系。本文首先基于人口素质的内涵与外延构建了一套包含身体素质、文化素质、劳动技能素质和思想品德素质的人口素质综合评价指标体系。从横、纵向的角度,基于主成分分析和层次分析法(AHP法)探讨浙江省及11个地市人口素质变动的总水平和平均水平效应,并对各地市评价结果进行系统聚类。通过典型相关分析研究人口素质的各构成要素与经济发展变量间的相关关系。分析结果表明人口素质的各子系统与经济发展变量间具有很强的相关关系,尤其是身体素质与文化素质对经济发展的作用尤为突出。进一步的研究人口素质对经济发展的贡献,引入Cobb-Douglas生产函数模型,将人口素质替代人力资本投入构建计量模型进行回归估计,研究浙江省人口素质及各地市对经济发展的贡献率。最后基于2000年至2010年人口素质各子系统的面板数据分析其对经济发展的作用,探讨浙江省各地市人口素质及其子系统间的均衡发展。最后在总结全文的基础上,综合上述分析结论,提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Population quality is the solid foundation of economic development and has a vital connection with social stability and the continuation of civilization. Firstly, based on the connotation and extension of population quality, a set of physical and cultural qualities is constructed. Comprehensive evaluation index system of labor skill quality and ideological and moral quality. Based on Principal component Analysis (PCA) and Analytic hierarchy process (AHP), the total level and average level effect of population quality change in Zhejiang Province and 11 cities are discussed, and the evaluation results of each city are systematically clustered. Through canonical correlation analysis, the correlation between the components of population quality and the variables of economic development is studied. The results show that there is a strong correlation between the subsystems of population quality and the variables of economic development. In particular, the effects of physical and cultural qualities on economic development are particularly prominent. Further research on the contribution of population quality to economic development is carried out, and Cobb-Douglas production function model is introduced. The quantitative model is constructed to estimate the quality of population instead of human capital. This paper studies the population quality of Zhejiang Province and the contribution rate of each city to the economic development. Finally, based on the panel data of the subsystems of population quality from 2000 to 2010, the paper analyzes its effect on the economic development. This paper probes into the balanced development of population quality and its sub-systems in various cities of Zhejiang Province. Finally, on the basis of summing up the full text, synthesizes the above analysis conclusion, puts forward the corresponding policy suggestion.
【学位授予单位】：浙江工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F224;F127;C924.24

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