农村老龄化加剧的机理分析与风险防范——基于城镇化视角的探讨

发布时间：2018-03-30 09:25

本文选题：城镇化　切入点：农村老龄化　出处：《农村经济》2017年01期

【摘要】：伴随着城镇化的发展,农村老龄化问题也日益突出,成为当今经济和社会发展面临的一个重要的社会问题。本文作者基于2000年~2014年的省级面板数据,从城镇化角度考察了农村老龄化加剧的成因。分析结果表明,城镇化主要通过农村人口流动和老年人预期寿命提高加剧农村老龄化。东部地区农村老龄化主要是由预期寿命的提高引起,而其他地区农村人口流动的作用较为明显。因此,城镇化进程中要防范农村劳动力人口的过度外流,实行就地城镇化,同时实行较为宽松的人口政策,尤其是"二胎政策",对于缓解农村老龄化具有较大的政策意义。
[Abstract]:With the development of urbanization, the problem of rural aging is becoming more and more prominent, which has become an important social problem in the economic and social development. The author based on the provincial panel data from 2000 to 2014. The causes of the aggravation of rural aging are investigated from the perspective of urbanization. Urbanization exacerbates rural ageing mainly through rural population mobility and the increase of life expectancy of the elderly. Rural ageing in the eastern region is mainly caused by the increase in life expectancy, while the role of rural population mobility in other regions is more obvious. In the process of urbanization, it is necessary to prevent the excessive outflow of rural labor force, to implement local urbanization, and to implement a relatively loose population policy, especially the "two-child policy", which is of great policy significance to alleviate the aging of rural areas.
【作者单位】：辽东学院经济学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大招标项目“制度变迁视角下的中国二元经济转型研究”(编号:11&ZD146) 辽宁省教育厅哲学社会科学重大基础理论项目“二元经济转型中收入分配的动态演变”(编号:Zw2013003)的阶段性研究成果
【分类号】：C924.24;F323.6

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