天津市人口郊区化特征及其动力因素

发布时间：2018-04-25 17:05

本文选题：人口密度模型 + 离心扩散　；参考：《地域研究与开发》2017年04期

【摘要】：基于"五普""六普"街道、乡镇数据,运用GIS及人口密度模型分析天津市人口郊区化的时空演变特征,并根据2005—2015年各区县数据,剖析其动力因素。结果表明:天津市中心区繁荣与郊区化并存,属于市中心发展型郊区化;天津已形成多中心格局,副中心人口聚集效应日益显著;人口郊区化伴随就业岗位的郊区化,但人口和产业存在空间分异现象;土地、住房制度改革及郊区经济发展加快了人口郊区化进程,公共服务的集中延缓了人口向郊区迁移,滨海新区发展、交通与通信网络的现代化为人口向郊区的迁移创造了条件。提出进一步推进城市组团式发展、推动产业结构与布局调整及以公共服务引导人口流动等措施实现中心城区人口向郊区有序分流。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of "five popular" and "six popular" streets and towns, this paper analyzes the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of population suburbanization in Tianjin by using GIS and population density model, and analyzes its dynamic factors according to the data of each district and county from 2005 to 2015. The results show that the prosperity and suburbanization coexist in the central district of Tianjin, which belongs to the development suburbanization of the city center, the multi-center pattern has been formed in Tianjin, the effect of population concentration in the sub-center is becoming more and more significant, and the suburbanization of population is accompanied by the suburbanization of the employment position. However, there is spatial differentiation between population and industry; land, housing system reform and suburban economic development have accelerated the process of population suburbanization, and the concentration of public services has slowed the migration of population to the suburbs, and the development of Binhai New area. The modernization of transportation and communication networks has created conditions for population migration to the suburbs. The paper puts forward some measures such as further promoting the development of urban groups, promoting the adjustment of industrial structure and layout, and guiding the population flow through public services to realize the orderly diversion of population from the central city to the suburbs.
【作者单位】：天津城建大学经济与管理学院;天津城建大学京津冀协同发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目(13BJY054) “十二五”天津市高等学校创新团队培养计划项目(TD12-5063)
【分类号】：C924.2

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