农村人口老龄化影响土地流转的区域差异及比较

发布时间：2018-04-25 20:16

  本文选题：农村人口 + 老龄化　； 参考：《农业技术经济》2017年09期

【摘要】：在农村人口老龄化不断加深的背景下,其对土地流转的影响也呈现出显著的区域差异。本文利用中国家庭收入调查(CHIP)2013年在全国14个省份10370个农户的抽样调查数据,通过建立Tobit模型实证分析了农村人口老龄化对土地流转的影响,研究结果表明:中国农村人口老龄化的标准与传统劳动经济学的60岁标准有所差异,分65岁以上农户和60岁至65岁农户来研究农村人口老龄化对土地流转决策的影响是非常有必要的。从全国范围和东中西部地区看,65岁以上农户对土地转出有显著的正向影响,对土地转入有显著的负向影响;60岁至65岁农户对土地转出并没有显著影响,对土地转入的影响具有显著的区域差异,在东部地区,60岁至65岁农户倾向于不转入土地,在中部地区60岁至65岁农户更倾向于转入土地。基于此,本文提出农村老龄化不断加深的背景下东中西部地区差别化的土地流转策略。
[Abstract]:Under the background of the aging of rural population, its influence on land circulation also presents significant regional differences. Based on the sample data of 10370 rural households in 14 provinces of China in 2013, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of the aging of rural population on the land circulation through the establishment of Tobit model. The results show that there is a difference between the standard of aging of rural population in China and the standard of 60 years of age in traditional labor economics. It is necessary to study the influence of the aging of rural population on the decision-making of land circulation by dividing the farmers over 65 years old and farmers aged 60 to 65 years old. From the view of the whole country and the central and western regions, farmers over 65 have a significant positive effect on the land transfer, but there is a significant negative impact on the land transfer. There is no significant impact on the land transfer from the farmers aged 60 to 65. In the eastern region, farmers aged 60 to 65 tend not to transfer to land, and in the central region, farmers aged 60 to 65 are more inclined to transfer to land. Based on this, this paper puts forward the strategy of land transfer in east, west and west under the background of rural aging.
【作者单位】： 中国社会科学院农村发展研究所;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目“农业支持政策对新型农业经营主体种粮行为的影响研究(编号:16CJY049)”
【分类号】：C924.2;F321.1

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