中国人口流动格局的十年变迁与思考——基于第五、六次人口普查数据的分析

发布时间：2018-05-04 11:48

本文选题：人口流动 + 变迁　；参考：《西北人口》2014年02期

【摘要】：通过全国第五次和第六次人口普查数据对比分析,发现十年间我国人口流动的区域分布格局变化不大,东部沿海仍然是最主要的人口流入地,中部地区人口大量外迁的趋势依旧,西部地区作为人口流入地的吸引力有所下降;越来越多的人选择城市作为流动目的地,超一半的流动人口来自于镇;流动人口的受教育程度略有提升但务工经商人群文化程度普遍偏低,外出年龄有所推迟;留守儿童与留守老人数量激增。造成上述特征及变化的原因主要有区域经济发展格局、城乡发展差距与要素集聚格局以及流动人口接纳安置能力与政策等方面的因素。今后我国人口流动需要随着区域经济发展格局的变化,以及新型城镇化、主体功能区等新思路的安排进行合理引导与配置。
[Abstract]:Through the comparative analysis of the data of the fifth and sixth national censuses, it is found that the regional distribution pattern of population mobility in China has not changed much in the past decade, and the eastern coast is still the most important place for population inflow. The trend of large population emigration in the central region is still the same, the attraction of the western region as the place of population flow has declined, more and more people choose the city as the floating destination, and more than half of the floating population comes from the town. The education level of the floating population is slightly improved, but the education level of the migrant workers and businessmen is generally low, the age of going out has been delayed, and the number of left-behind children and the left-behind elderly has increased sharply. The main reasons for these changes are the pattern of regional economic development, the gap between urban and rural development and the pattern of agglomeration of elements, and the resettlement ability and policy of the floating population. In the future, China's population mobility needs to be rationally guided and allocated along with the changes in the pattern of regional economic development, as well as the arrangement of new ideas, such as new urbanization, main function areas, and so on.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学经济学院区域与城市经济研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41101151)
【分类号】：C924.2

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