东北三省人口—经济系统协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-05-14 18:58

本文选题：东北三省 + 人口—经济系统　；参考：《东北师范大学》2012年硕士论文

【摘要】：人口与经济、政治、文化等多种因素密切相关。在诸多因素中，经济水平对人口发展的影响尤为明显，同时，人口作为社会生产、分配、交换、消费的主体，是一切经济行为和经济活动的基础，这就要求必须把人口增长和经济增长作为共体相生的总体进行考察。本文将东北三省作为一个整体，从理论上梳理了人口与经济系统相互作用机制，并对东北三省36个市、区、州人口—经济系统协调发展现状进行了数理实证分析。全文从内容上分为四个部分：第一部分是理论部分，包括第一章和第二章，主要介绍研究的选题背景、研究目的及意义，国内外相关研究综述等，并阐述了人口地理学、区域经济地理学及系统学相关理论。第二部分包括第三章，从理论层面分析了人口与社会经济发展的互动机制。第三部分包括第四章，利用模糊数学方法建立人口—经济系统协调状态函数，选取1995年～2010年的人口、经济指标，分析了东北三省36个城市人口—经济系统的协调发展现状，并在此基础上通过GM（1，1）模型对未来发展状况做出预期。结果表明，东北三省36个地级市、州、区人口、经济协调度总体呈上升态势，但部分城市呈持续波动性发展，甚至协调度不断降低，，逐步转变为过渡发展类型、不协调类型，尤其以资源型城市的人口—经济协调度波动性最为明显。第四部分包括第五章，在前几章分析的基础上从人口、经济两方面对东北三省人口—经济系统协调发展提出优化政策。
[Abstract]:Population is closely related to many factors, such as economy, politics and culture. In many factors, the economic level has a particularly obvious influence on the development of population. At the same time, as the main body of social production, distribution, exchange and consumption, the population is the basis of all economic behavior and economic activity. This requires that population growth and economic growth must be the common generation of population growth and economic growth. In this paper, the three provinces of Northeast China are considered as a whole, and the interaction mechanism of population and economic system is combed theoretically, and the present situation of the coordinated development of 36 cities, districts and state population economic systems in three northeast provinces of Northeast China is analyzed.
The full text is divided into four parts from the content:
The first part is the theoretical part, including the first chapter and the second chapter, which mainly introduces the background of the study, the purpose and significance of the research, the domestic and foreign related research summaries, and expounds the theory of population geography, regional economic geography and systematics.
The second part, including the third chapter, analyzes the interaction mechanism between population and socio-economic development from the theoretical level.
The third part includes the fourth chapter, using the fuzzy mathematical method to establish the coordinated state function of the population economic system, select the population and the economic index from 1995 to 2010, analyze the current situation of the coordinated development of the population economic system of the 36 cities and 36 cities in Northeast China, and on this basis, make the expectation of the future development through the 1,1 model. In the three provinces of Northeast China, the population and economic coordination of 36 prefectures and cities in three provinces of Northeast China are generally on the rise, but some cities are constantly fluctuating, even the degree of coordination is decreasing, gradually changing into the type of transition and development, and the uncoordinated type, especially the fluctuation of the population economic coordination degree in the resource based cities is the most obvious.
The fourth part includes the fifth chapter. Based on the analysis of the previous chapters, it puts forward the optimization policy from the two aspects of population and economy to the coordinated development of the three provinces' population economic system in Northeast China.

【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：F127;C92-05;F224

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