人口回流vs.人口外流:“空巢”城市群的发展新契机

发布时间：2018-05-16 10:59

  本文选题：长江中游城市群 + 人口净流出　； 参考：《经济社会体制比较》2017年04期

【摘要】：文章利用人口普查数据及其他人口统计数据,运用空间分析方法,对长江中游城市群的人口迁移空间格局及演化态势进行分析。结果表明,长江中游城市群人口大规模外流,导致地区人口红利流失;自2010年以来,随着国务院《促进中部地区崛起规划》通过以及全国经济中心西移,长江中游城市群开始出现人口回流趋势,"空巢"城市群发展迎来新契机。文章既为中国人口回流研究提供实例支持,又为加快吸引人口回流的政策制定提供了科学依据和对策参考。
[Abstract]:Using census data and other demographic data, this paper analyzes the spatial pattern and evolution of population migration of urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River by using spatial analysis method. The results show that the massive outflow of population from the urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River leads to the loss of regional population dividends. Since 2010, with the adoption of the State Council's Plan for promoting the rise of the Central region and the westward movement of the national economic centers, The urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River begins to have the trend of population return, and the development of "empty nest" urban agglomeration ushered in a new opportunity. The paper not only provides practical support for the study of population return in China, but also provides scientific basis and countermeasure reference for making policy to attract population return.
【作者单位】： 清华大学公共管理学院;北京大学政府管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金一般项目“基于人口迁移网络的城市人口预测及城市化格局优化研究”(项目编号:16BJL124) 武汉市规划编制研究和展示中心课题
【分类号】：C924.2;F299.27
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本文编号：1896568