上海人口老龄化对消费水平的影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-26 06:35

本文选题：上海 + 人口老龄化　；参考：《西北人口》2016年06期

【摘要】：老龄化已成为严重影响上海经济社会发展的突出因素。在分析上海市人口老龄化的进程与主要特征,指出人口老龄化对消费需求的影响路径的基础上,关注上海市城乡居民消费水平的变动情况,运用上海市1978年-2013年有关人口年龄结构、消费水平以及相关经济发展的时间序列数据,分析上海市人口老龄化与居民消费水平两者之间的关系以及对居民消费水平构成影响的其他因素,研究表明:人均消费水平、人均GDP、人均可支配收入与老年人口比重之间存在线性相关关系,人口老龄化对消费水平的影响呈负向影响。而人口老龄化对居民消费水平的负向影响将会给社会经济生活等带来诸多意义深远的问题。物价指数、人口自然增长率以及劳动人口比重等对城镇居民消费水平的作用并不显著。
[Abstract]:Aging has become a serious impact on the economic and social development of Shanghai prominent factors. Based on the analysis of the process and main characteristics of the aging of the population in Shanghai, the paper points out the influence of the aging of the population on the consumption demand, and pays attention to the changes of the consumption level of the urban and rural residents in Shanghai. Using time series data of population age structure, consumption level and related economic development in Shanghai from 1978 to 2013, This paper analyzes the relationship between the aging of the population and the consumption level of the residents in Shanghai and other factors that affect the consumption level of the residents. The study shows that: per capita consumption level, There is a linear correlation between per capita GDP, per capita disposable income and the proportion of elderly population, and the effect of population aging on consumption level is negative. The negative impact of population aging on residents' consumption level will bring profound problems to social and economic life. The effect of price index, natural population growth rate and the proportion of labor population on the consumption level of urban residents is not significant.
【作者单位】：上海社会科学院经济研究所;上海应用技术大学城市建设与安全工程学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重大项目“公平、活力与可持续——老龄社会的经济特征及支持体系研究”(项目编号:71490734)资助
【分类号】：C924.24;F126.1

【相似文献】