人口—土地—经济城镇化的时空耦合协调性分析——基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-27 06:31

本文选题：土地城镇化 + 经济城镇化　；参考：《城市发展研究》2014年08期

【摘要】：利用1999~2012年中国省际面板数据,从人口城镇化、土地城镇化和经济城镇化入手,构建协调发展模型,实证检验全国及三大区域人口—土地—经济城镇化之间的耦合协调规律及程度。研究结果表明:总体上看,我国东、中、西部的人口—土地—经济城镇化之间的耦合协调程度出现了积极的改进,但在各区域之间还存在比较明显的差异。σ收敛性检验则表明:我国整体及东、中、西三大区域的人口—土地—经济城镇化之间耦合协调度的变异系数并不大,且有收敛趋势。应以内涵发展为主、消除人口城乡迁移阻碍,控制农地过度非农化,巩固和提升我国人口—土地—经济城镇化协调健康发展。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of China's provincial panel from 1999 to 2012, a coordinated development model is constructed from population urbanization, land urbanization and economic urbanization. The law and degree of coupling and coordination between population, land and economic urbanization in China and three regions are tested empirically. The results show that, on the whole, the coupling and coordination between population, land and economic urbanization in the east, middle and west of China has been improved positively. But there are obvious differences among different regions. 蟽 convergence test shows that the coefficient of variation of the coupling coordination degree between population, land and economic urbanization in the whole, east, middle and west regions of China is not large and convergent. We should focus on the development of connotation, eliminate the obstacles of urban and rural migration, control the excessive conversion of agricultural land, and consolidate and promote the harmonious and healthy development of population, land and economic urbanization in China.
【作者单位】：安徽财经大学财政与公共管理学院;天津大学管理学院;
【基金】：安徽省哲学社会科学规划项目“安徽省集体建设用地产权改革安排及其绩效分析——以芜湖市为例”(项目编号:AHSK11-12D19) 江苏沿海沿江发展研究院课题“南通沿海地区重点城镇差异化建设与发展研究”(课题编号:Z201304) 安徽省教育厅社科项目“城市增长与土地利用规划研究”(项目编号:SK2012B020)
【分类号】：C924.2;F301;F299.2

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