人口老龄化与房价——基于中国省级面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-07-07 14:43

本文选题：人口老龄化 + 房价　；参考：《华东经济管理》2014年07期

【摘要】：文章采用2002-2011年的省级面板数据分析了中国人口年龄结构变化对住房价格的影响及其区域差异。结果发现:老龄化所导致的房价波动滞后于老龄化进程,各年龄阶段人口比例对房价均产生正向影响,但不同年龄阶段在不同区域的解释力度不尽相同。对此实证检验结果,文章认为可以从我国居民的改善性住房需求与投资渠道匮乏、人口家庭结构小型化以及城市集聚效应等方面进行解释,并以前瞻性政策加以应对。
[Abstract]:Using the provincial panel data for 2002-2011 years, this paper analyses the impact of the change of age structure on housing price and its regional differences in China. It is found that the fluctuation of house prices caused by aging is lagging behind the aging process, and the proportion of people in all ages has a positive effect on the house price, but the solution of different age stages in different regions is the same. The result of the empirical test is that it can be explained from the poor housing demand and the lack of investment channels, the miniaturization of population family structure and the effect of urban agglomeration, and the forward-looking policy should be taken to deal with it.
【作者单位】：四川大学经济学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(13XJC790007)
【分类号】：F299.23;C924.24

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