中国东、中、西三大区域人口互动对流规律研究

发布时间：2018-08-16 16:47

【摘要】：改革开放以来,随着经济社会的迅速发展,中国人口从东到西大跨度、长距离的变动越来越频繁,省际流动人口从2000年的3324万增至2010年的8588万,增加了一倍多。2000年代,旨在促进区域经济均衡发展的西部大开发、中部崛起战略相继实施。东、中西三大区域经济、自然、社会具有内部相似性和外部差异性,本文主要回答：两大宏伟战略的实施,对三大区域人口流动互动对流的态势、模式是否发生了变化,发生了怎样的变化。本文采用2010年全国第六次人口普查、2000年全国第五次人口普查的统计数据,运用描述性统计、ArcGIS软件分别分析了三大区域间的人口互动对流的模式；流入、流出省、市、区以及城乡分布的特征；国家中、西发展宏观战略实施前后的区域人口互动对流模式的变动；国家中、西发展宏观战略实施前后的区域人口互动对流模式变动的影响。根据分析结果,得出：即使实施了西部大开发战略、东部崛起战略,东部地区仍是跨区域流动人口的首选之地,流入中部地区的相对比重最小；各区域跨地带流入人口来源地省份、流入省份变化不大,但省份增长速度变化差异显著；跨区流入入口中来自“镇”的比例最高,且逐渐升高；东部流入城市的比重最高,中西部流入镇的比重上升,三大区域流入农村的比重均下降,响应了城镇化的趋势。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, with the rapid development of economy and society, the population of China has changed more and more frequently from east to west. The number of interprovincial floating population has increased from 33.24 million in 2000 to 85.88 million in 2010, which has more than doubled in the 2000s. In order to promote the balanced development of the regional economy, the strategy of the rise of the central region has been implemented one after another. East, China and West three regional economy, nature, society have internal similarity and external difference, this article mainly answers: the implementation of the two grand strategies, the situation of interactive convection of population flow in the three regions, whether the pattern has changed, What has changed? Based on the statistical data of the sixth national population census in 2010 and the fifth national census in 2000, this paper uses the descriptive statistical software ArcGIS to analyze the model of population interaction convection among the three major regions: inflow, outflow from provinces, cities, etc. The characteristics of regional and urban and rural distribution; the changes of regional population interaction convection model before and after the implementation of the western development macro strategy; the influence of the regional population interaction convection model before and after the implementation of the western development macro strategy in the country. According to the results of the analysis, it is concluded that even if the strategy of developing the western region and the strategy of rising up of the east are implemented, the eastern region is still the first choice for the floating population across the region, and the relative proportion of the flowing into the central region is the smallest; Each region flows into the provinces of origin of population across regions, and the inflow provinces do not change much, but the growth rate of the provinces varies significantly; the proportion of cross-regional inflow flows from "towns" is the highest and gradually rising; the proportion of the eastern inflow into cities is the highest. The proportion of the central and western regions flowing into the town increased, and the proportion of the three regions into the countryside decreased, responding to the trend of urbanization.
【学位授予单位】：浙江大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：C924.2

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