中国省际人口迁移圈及其影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-08-29 12:17

【摘要】： 人口迁移和人类社会发展关系密切,近年来已成为学术界广泛研究的热点和重点问题之一。中国是一个相对落后的发展中大国,长期以来,人口迁移被户籍制度、就业制度、社会保障制度等二元社会体制所制约。改革开放以来,特别是20世纪90年代以来,我国市场经济改革加大了步伐,城市化快速发展,中国的人口迁移才渐趋正常发展,并已成为中国经济社会发展的重要动力,有力地促进了中国经济起飞、社会发展及现代化建设进程。在经济和社会转型条件下,大规模的人口迁移和流动,对经济发展和社会整合等多方面正在并将继续产生深远影响,因此采用定量的方法,对我国省际人口迁移进行研究显得尤为重要。本研究主要从两个方面研究我国省际人口迁移。第一、以人口迁移圈为视角,研究我国省际人口迁移的空间格局及演变。第二、建立计量经济学模型,研究我国人口迁移圈影响因素。本文采用了定量分析和定性分析相结合、GIS空间分析方法以及对比分析方法对上述两个问题进行研究。文章可以分为六个章节：第一章为绪论部分,阐明本研究的背景和意义；第二章为研究综述,对国内外关于人口迁移的研究进行梳理；第三章采用因子分析法划分了人口迁移圈,并通过两个时期的对比,探索我国省际人口空间结构的历史演变；第四章利用人口迁移选择指数法,研究各迁移圈内部省际人口的迁移模式,并对两个时期迁移圈的迁移模式进行对比分析；第五章采用计量经济学方法对我国省际人口迁移的影响因素进行对比分析；第六章对全文的研究进行总结,并对进一步研究提出展望。
[Abstract]:Population migration is closely related to the development of human society. In recent years, it has become one of the hot and important issues in academic circles. China is a relatively backward developing country. For a long time, population migration has been restricted by the dual social system, such as household registration system, employment system, social security system and so on. Since the reform and opening up to the outside world, especially since the 1990s, China's market economy reform has increased its pace, the rapid development of urbanization, and China's population migration has gradually tended to the normal development, and has become an important driving force for China's economic and social development. It has promoted China's economic take-off, social development and modernization process. In the context of economic and social transition, massive population movements and movements are having and will continue to have far-reaching effects on many aspects of economic development and social integration, and hence quantitative approaches are used, It is very important to study the interprovincial population migration in China. This study mainly studies interprovincial population migration from two aspects. First, from the perspective of population migration circle, the spatial pattern and evolution of interprovincial population migration in China are studied. Secondly, establish econometric model to study the influencing factors of population migration circle in China. In this paper, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis are combined with GIS spatial analysis method and comparative analysis method to study the above two problems. The article can be divided into six chapters: the first chapter is the introduction part, the background and significance of this study is clarified, the second chapter is the summary of the research, the research on population migration at home and abroad is sorted out. The third chapter uses factor analysis method to divide the population migration circle, and through the comparison of the two periods, explores the historical evolution of the spatial structure of interprovincial population in China. This paper studies the migration patterns of interprovincial population in each migration circle and makes a comparative analysis of the migration patterns in the two periods. Chapter five uses econometrics method to analyze the influencing factors of interprovincial population migration in China. The sixth chapter summarizes the full-text research and puts forward the prospect of further research.
【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：C924.21

【引证文献】