翼城县“晚婚晚育加间隔”二孩试验效果分析

发布时间：2018-09-06 13:13

【摘要】：从1985年7月到2010年11月1日第六次人口普查,山西省翼城县"晚婚晚育加间隔"二孩生育试点已经实施了25年,是全国唯一持续这么长时间的试点地区。本文以第三、四、五、六次人口普查数据、翼城县计划生育报表、临汾统计年鉴和山西省统计年鉴等有关数据为依据,通过历史时期数据比较和不同政策实施地区比较的方法,对山西省翼城县"晚婚晚育加间隔"二孩生育政策试验的实施效果进行分析。结果表明,在人口控制效果方面,翼城县的人口规模、人口增长速度均表现较好,而且出生性别比与全国和山西省相比要更合理些。翼城县"晚婚晚育加间隔"政策在实施中出现了高比例的不按政策执行的情况。
[Abstract]:From July 1985 to November 1, 2010, the "late marriage, late childbearing and interval" two-child experiment in Yicheng County, Shanxi Province, has been carried out for 25 years, which is the only pilot area in China for such a long time. Based on the data of the third, fourth, fifth and sixth censuses, the family planning report of Yicheng County, the Statistical Yearbook of Linfen and the Statistical Yearbook of Shanxi Province and other relevant data, the method of comparing the historical period data and the regions where different policies are implemented is adopted in this paper. This paper analyzes the effect of "late marriage and late childbearing plus interval" policy test of two children in Yicheng County, Shanxi Province. The results show that the population scale and population growth rate of Yicheng County are better and the birth sex ratio is more reasonable than that of the whole country and Shanxi Province. The policy of "late marriage and late childbearing plus spacing" in Yicheng County has been implemented in high proportion not in accordance with the policy.
【作者单位】：复旦大学人口研究所;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目:“十二五”时期生育政策决策选择研究(11BRK011)
【分类号】：C924.21

【参考文献】