上海市老年人口空间分布及演变趋势研究

发布时间：2018-11-05 11:13

【摘要】：探究老年人口的空间分布情况,是实现老年精准服务、优化老年资源配置的重要前提。采用GIS的空间分析方法,对特大型城市上海的老年人口空间分布情况进行研究,对其影响因素进行了探讨。2015年上海老年人口的综合分布总体呈现从东北到西南递减态势,密度上呈现中间高四周低、区域分布不均衡的态势,深度老龄化趋势明显,圈层结构特征显著;通过空间自相关分析,发现上海老年人口存在较强的正向空间自相关性,老年人口空间分布的同质性较强,且老年人口空间集聚开始发生扩散,郊区化趋势开始加剧。上海老年人口的空间差异受政治、经济、文化等多种因素的影响,其中公园等环境因素、医疗卫生服务人员等公共服务配置情况、体育设施资源等都对上海老年人口空间分布产生了重大影响。
[Abstract]:To explore the spatial distribution of the elderly population is an important premise to realize the accurate service for the elderly and to optimize the allocation of the elderly resources. By using the spatial analysis method of GIS, the spatial distribution of the elderly population in Shanghai is studied, and the influencing factors are discussed. In 2015, the comprehensive distribution of the elderly population in Shanghai presents a decreasing trend from northeast to southwest. The density shows the situation of middle height and low around, uneven regional distribution, the aging trend of depth is obvious, and the structure of the ring is obvious. Through spatial autocorrelation analysis, it is found that there is a strong positive spatial autocorrelation among the elderly population in Shanghai, the spatial distribution of the elderly population is more homogeneous, and the spatial agglomeration of the elderly population begins to spread, and the trend of suburbanization begins to intensify. The spatial differences in the elderly population in Shanghai are affected by political, economic, cultural and other factors, including environmental factors such as parks, and the allocation of public services such as medical and health service personnel. Sports facilities and other resources have had a significant impact on the spatial distribution of the elderly population in Shanghai.
【作者单位】：上海工程技术大学社会科学学院;华东师范大学公共管理学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金项目“社会力量参与社区老龄人口健康服务的机制研究”(16CGL068)
【分类号】：C924.2

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