人口普查净误差估计中的双系统估计量研究
发布时间:2018-11-15 19:17
【摘要】:评估普查计数的完整性已经成为五年或十年一次的人口普查不可分割的一部分。评估通常采取质量评估调查的方式。该调查建立在双系统估计量基础上。考虑到普查登记质量及人口移动因素,这三份人口登记名单可提供7个总体指标。由于质量评估调查采取抽样的方式进行,所以这些总体指标要用样本来构造其估计量。基于复杂抽样方法形成的双系统估计量没有现成的方差公式计算其方差。通常使用分层刀切方差估计量近似计算双系统估计量的方差。这需要计算第一步所有样本抽样单位的复制权数。本文将对双系统估计量构造的各个环节进行理论与实践相结合的阐述,深入解析其中深层次的理论问题,为基础理论研究做出贡献,另外也将探讨基于双系统估计量的合成估计量在区域人口数目估计中的应用问题。
[Abstract]:Assessing the integrity of census counts has become an integral part of a five-or-ten-year census. Evaluation usually takes the form of a quality assessment survey. The survey is based on two-system estimators. Taking into account the quality of census registration and population movements, these three population registers can provide seven overall indicators. Because the quality assessment survey is conducted by sampling, these general indicators should be used to construct their estimates. The two-system estimator based on complex sampling method has no ready-made variance formula to calculate its variance. It is usually used to approximate the variance of the two-system estimator by using the stratified cutter cut variance estimator. This requires calculating the replication weights of all sample units in step 1. In this paper, the theoretical and practical aspects of the construction of double system estimators are expounded, and the deep theoretical problems are deeply analyzed, which will contribute to the basic theoretical research. In addition, the application of composite estimator based on double system estimator in regional population estimation is also discussed.
【作者单位】: 重庆工商大学;
【分类号】:F061
[Abstract]:Assessing the integrity of census counts has become an integral part of a five-or-ten-year census. Evaluation usually takes the form of a quality assessment survey. The survey is based on two-system estimators. Taking into account the quality of census registration and population movements, these three population registers can provide seven overall indicators. Because the quality assessment survey is conducted by sampling, these general indicators should be used to construct their estimates. The two-system estimator based on complex sampling method has no ready-made variance formula to calculate its variance. It is usually used to approximate the variance of the two-system estimator by using the stratified cutter cut variance estimator. This requires calculating the replication weights of all sample units in step 1. In this paper, the theoretical and practical aspects of the construction of double system estimators are expounded, and the deep theoretical problems are deeply analyzed, which will contribute to the basic theoretical research. In addition, the application of composite estimator based on double system estimator in regional population estimation is also discussed.
【作者单位】: 重庆工商大学;
【分类号】:F061
【参考文献】
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