云南少数民族人口数量增长及其因素分析

发布时间：2018-12-17 20:07

【摘要】：自从1953年第一次全国人口普查和民族识别工作开展以来,各民族人口的数量规模及其增减变化开始进入民族研究的视野。从人口普查数据的统计观察与云南少数民族人口数量变动的历史脉络来看,云南各民族人口的数量变动有三个特征:一是云南各民族人口的数量规模参差不齐;二是云南各民族人口的增长速度快慢不均;三是一些少数民族人口增长出现超"常规"的大幅度波动。各少数民族人口增长的不同因素包括内在导因与外在差异,受经济、文化、政策三个因素影响,非自然变动、自然增长成为不同历史时期云南少数民族人口增长的两个关键指针,但在未来,云南少数民族人口的自然增长因素作用将趋于稳定,而非自然增长因素作用在一系列民族政策"利好"作用的诱导下还将有可能放大,甚至再度成为部分少数民族人口增长的主导因素。
[Abstract]:Since the first national census and the work of ethnic identification were carried out in 1953, the population size of each nationality and its increase or decrease began to enter the field of view of ethnic studies. From the statistical observation of census data and the historical context of Yunnan ethnic population change, there are three characteristics of Yunnan ethnic population change: first, the number of Yunnan ethnic population scale is not uniform; Second, the speed of population growth in Yunnan is uneven, and the growth rate of some ethnic minorities is very large. The different factors of population growth of ethnic minorities include internal and external differences, influenced by economic, cultural and policy factors, and unnatural changes. Natural growth has become the two key indicators of the population growth of ethnic minorities in Yunnan in different historical periods, but in the future, the role of the natural growth factors of the ethnic minorities in Yunnan will tend to stabilize. Under the guidance of the positive effect of a series of national policies, the non-natural growth factors may be magnified and even become the dominant factors for the population growth of some ethnic minorities.
【作者单位】：云南大学人口研究所;云南大学发展研究院;
【基金】：云南省哲学社会科学“人口学”学科建设2012年立项项目“云南少数民族人口发展研究”阶段成果
【分类号】：C92-05;D633

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