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北京市城乡独生子女生育意愿比较社会学分析

发布时间:2019-01-21 15:13
【摘要】:本文利用北京市人口研究所2006和2008年对北京市城区和农村地区独生子女生育意愿调查的数据,对北京城乡独生子女育龄人群及其父母在理想子女数、性别偏好和生育时间等生育意愿要素和影响因素作了比较研究,并运用社会学相关理论进行了分析解释,力图把握现代化和城市化进程中城乡独生子女在生育观念上的变化轨迹和发展趋势,并对北京市的生育政策的调整提出政策建议。 数据分析显示:城乡独生子女无论在理想子女数、性别偏好和生育时间和间隔上都呈现高度的一致;在影响生育意愿的原因上,经济因素是最主要的原因,自身发展和社会竞争压力是他们不想多生育的主要考虑;倾向于要2孩的主要原因基本一致;在生育行为上,无论城乡,均以自主行为主,但农村受到长辈影响略大;城乡独生子女均对生育政策知晓程度很高;农村独生子女父母理想子女数以2孩为主,而城市独生子女父母则呈现1孩、2孩并重,在性别偏好上基本趋同,男孩偏好淡化。 城乡独生子女的生育意愿发生了从传统到现代的转变,已呈现出较低的生育意愿,并且有持续走低的态势,适当微调现行生育政策是可行的。
[Abstract]:Based on the data from Beijing population Research Institute in 2006 and 2008, the authors analyzed the ideal number of one-child childbearing age group and their parents in urban and rural areas of Beijing. This paper makes a comparative study on the factors and influencing factors of fertility intention such as gender preference and reproductive time, and makes an analysis and explanation with the relevant theories of sociology. This paper tries to grasp the changing track and development trend of the only child's fertility concept in urban and rural areas in the process of modernization and urbanization, and puts forward some policy suggestions on the adjustment of Beijing's fertility policy. The data analysis shows that the number of the only child in urban and rural areas is highly consistent in terms of ideal number of children, gender preference, birth time and interval; The economic factor is the most important reason, the main consideration is their own development and social competition pressure, the main reason that they tend to have 2 children is the same. In terms of fertility behavior, both urban and rural areas are mainly independent, but the rural areas are slightly affected by the elders, the only children in urban and rural areas are highly aware of the fertility policy; The ideal number of only child parents in rural areas was mainly 2 children, while the urban only child parents showed one child and two children with equal emphasis. The gender preference of the only child was similar and the boy preference was desalinated. The fertility intention of the only child in urban and rural areas has changed from tradition to modern, which has shown a low fertility intention, and has a trend of continuous decline. It is feasible to fine-tune the current fertility policy.
【学位授予单位】:中共北京市委党校
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2010
【分类号】:C924.2

【引证文献】

相关硕士学位论文 前1条

1 王舒容;天津市人口发展趋势预测[D];天津理工大学;2013年



本文编号:2412771

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