我国乡—城流动人口转移意愿研究
发布时间：2019-06-13 12:38
【摘要】：本文根据2010年上半年由国家人口计生委组织的全国106个城市流动人口动态监测调查数据中户籍为农业的人员信息,描述我国乡-城流动人口居住、就业、户籍三方面的转移意愿情况；运用二元logistic回归模型,研究乡-城流动人口居住、就业、户籍三方面转移意愿的影响因素,再通过相关意愿与主要影响因素的交叉分析,探索乡-城流动人口内部各转移意愿的分化情况。 研究发现：乡-城流动人口愿意进城打工、在城市就业生活,但不愿意将自己的户籍转为非农。他们不愿意转变为非农业户口的根本原因,在于保留承包地,并且其对城市户口的评价不高,需求较弱,他们更愿意到省会城市等大城市去进城落户,而愿意在中小城镇非农落户的比例较小。愿意转户的乡-城流动人口中,中青年者主要是为了能够让子女获得较好的教育升学机会,年长者更多是想要获得城市居民的社会保障福利。 受教育程度越高的乡-城流动人口愿意转非农户口的比例就越大；居留时间越长,愿意转为非农户口的发生比就越大；户籍地和流入地区经济越发达、城市环境越好,其乡-城流动人口愿意转户的就越多；与土地联系的越紧密,想转非农户籍的意愿就越弱,而脱离土地越远的,想转非农户口的意愿就越强烈。 对于今后居住就业的选择,乡-城流动人口总体上回乡就业意愿不强烈,多数人没有打算回乡就业,如果今后买房建房,更多人愿意选择在现流入地和户籍地城镇买房,打算回乡就业的人多为想要回到户籍地的县市区或乡镇街道从事非农职业。 年龄越小、受教育程度越高的乡-城流动人口打算返乡就业的比例就越大,且多倾向于从事非农职业,多打算在城镇居住。在现流入地城市居住的时间越长,其返乡就业的意愿就越弱；在流入地居住的时间越长,想在流入地买房的比例就越大,在城市居住的时间越短,想回户籍地城镇买房的比例就越大。户籍地区域与流入地区域越发达的乡-城流动人口返乡就业意愿越弱。与土地联系越紧密,返乡就业意愿就越强,且返乡打算务农和在户籍地农村建房的比例就越大。
[Abstract]:Based on the information of agricultural personnel in the dynamic monitoring and survey data of 106 cities in China organized by the State population and Family Planning Commission in the first half of 2010, this paper describes the willingness to transfer the rural-urban floating population in China from three aspects: residence, employment and household registration. By using the binary logistic regression model, this paper studies the influencing factors of the transfer intention of the rural-urban floating population in three aspects: residence, employment and household registration, and then explores the differentiation of the transfer intention within the rural-urban floating population through the cross-analysis of the relevant will and the main influencing factors. The study found that the rural-urban floating population is willing to work in the city and live in the city, but is unwilling to convert their household registration to non-agriculture. The fundamental reason why they are unwilling to switch to non-agricultural hukou is to retain contracted land, and their evaluation of urban hukou is not high and the demand is weak. They prefer to go to big cities such as provincial capital cities to settle in cities, but are willing to settle in small and medium-sized towns. Among the rural-urban floating population who are willing to transfer households, the middle-aged and young people are mainly in order to get better educational opportunities for their children, and the elderly are more likely to get the social security benefits of urban residents. The higher the education level, the greater the proportion of rural-urban migrants willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou; the longer the stay time, the greater the occurrence ratio of rural-urban floating population willing to be converted to non-agricultural hukou; the more developed the economy of domicile and inflow area, the better the urban environment, the more rural-urban floating population are willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou, and the more rural-urban floating population is willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou. The closer the relationship with the land, the weaker the willingness to transfer to non-agricultural household registration, and the farther away from the land, the stronger the willingness to switch to non-agricultural hukou. For the choice of residence and employment in the future, the rural-urban floating population generally does not have a strong willingness to return to their hometown for employment, and most people do not intend to go back to their hometowns for employment. If they buy houses and build houses in the future, more people are willing to choose to buy houses in the cities and towns where they are now living and domicile, and most of the people who plan to return to their hometowns for employment are engaged in non-agricultural occupations in the counties, cities, districts or township streets where they want to return to their domicile. The younger the age, the higher the proportion of rural-urban migrants who plan to return home for employment, and more tend to engage in non-agricultural occupations and more intend to live in cities and towns. The longer the living time in the current city, the weaker the willingness to return home for employment; the longer the time living in the displaced land, the greater the proportion of people who want to buy a house in the inflow land, and the shorter the time they live in the city, the greater the proportion of people who want to buy a house in the town where they want to go back to their domicile. The more developed rural-urban migrants are, the weaker their willingness to return to their homes for employment. The closer the relationship with land, the stronger the willingness to return to home for employment, and the greater the proportion of returning to agriculture and building houses in rural areas.
【学位授予单位】：华东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：C924.2
本文编号：2498535
[Abstract]:Based on the information of agricultural personnel in the dynamic monitoring and survey data of 106 cities in China organized by the State population and Family Planning Commission in the first half of 2010, this paper describes the willingness to transfer the rural-urban floating population in China from three aspects: residence, employment and household registration. By using the binary logistic regression model, this paper studies the influencing factors of the transfer intention of the rural-urban floating population in three aspects: residence, employment and household registration, and then explores the differentiation of the transfer intention within the rural-urban floating population through the cross-analysis of the relevant will and the main influencing factors. The study found that the rural-urban floating population is willing to work in the city and live in the city, but is unwilling to convert their household registration to non-agriculture. The fundamental reason why they are unwilling to switch to non-agricultural hukou is to retain contracted land, and their evaluation of urban hukou is not high and the demand is weak. They prefer to go to big cities such as provincial capital cities to settle in cities, but are willing to settle in small and medium-sized towns. Among the rural-urban floating population who are willing to transfer households, the middle-aged and young people are mainly in order to get better educational opportunities for their children, and the elderly are more likely to get the social security benefits of urban residents. The higher the education level, the greater the proportion of rural-urban migrants willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou; the longer the stay time, the greater the occurrence ratio of rural-urban floating population willing to be converted to non-agricultural hukou; the more developed the economy of domicile and inflow area, the better the urban environment, the more rural-urban floating population are willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou, and the more rural-urban floating population is willing to transfer to non-agricultural hukou. The closer the relationship with the land, the weaker the willingness to transfer to non-agricultural household registration, and the farther away from the land, the stronger the willingness to switch to non-agricultural hukou. For the choice of residence and employment in the future, the rural-urban floating population generally does not have a strong willingness to return to their hometown for employment, and most people do not intend to go back to their hometowns for employment. If they buy houses and build houses in the future, more people are willing to choose to buy houses in the cities and towns where they are now living and domicile, and most of the people who plan to return to their hometowns for employment are engaged in non-agricultural occupations in the counties, cities, districts or township streets where they want to return to their domicile. The younger the age, the higher the proportion of rural-urban migrants who plan to return home for employment, and more tend to engage in non-agricultural occupations and more intend to live in cities and towns. The longer the living time in the current city, the weaker the willingness to return home for employment; the longer the time living in the displaced land, the greater the proportion of people who want to buy a house in the inflow land, and the shorter the time they live in the city, the greater the proportion of people who want to buy a house in the town where they want to go back to their domicile. The more developed rural-urban migrants are, the weaker their willingness to return to their homes for employment. The closer the relationship with land, the stronger the willingness to return to home for employment, and the greater the proportion of returning to agriculture and building houses in rural areas.
【学位授予单位】：华东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2012
【分类号】：C924.2
【引证文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 邱鸿博;赵卫华;;社会分层视角下对农民工落户城镇意愿的分析[J];南方农村;2013年06期
，本文编号：2498535
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