中心—侧翼理论:解释大国兴衰的新地缘政治模式

发布时间：2018-12-06 19:33

【摘要】：对于大国的兴衰或霸权的交替,迄今的地缘政治研究未提供一种基于地理因素的一般性理论模式。基于对历史经验尤其是中国战国体系和16世纪以来的欧洲及世界体系的经验分析,本文较系统地提出了一个“中心—侧翼理论”,它把强国分为位于中心地带的中心强国和位于侧翼地带的侧翼强国,并且认为就中心和侧翼地位的政治意义而言,侧翼强国具有相对于中心强国的若干重大地缘战略优势;相应地,中心—侧翼地位影响着大国的兴衰,身处侧翼比身处中心更有利于大国的崛起,近代以来的霸权国家都出自侧翼强国。该理论可被视作中国国际关系学界发展“自己的”国际关系理论的努力的一部分。
[Abstract]:As for the rise and fall of great powers or the alternation of hegemony, so far geopolitical studies have not provided a general theoretical model based on geographical factors. Based on the analysis of the historical experience, especially the Chinese warring States system and the European and world systems since the 16th century, this paper puts forward a "center-flanking theory" systematically. It divides the powerful country into the central power located in the central region and the flank power in the flanking zone, and considers that the flank power has some important geo-strategic advantages over the central power in terms of the political significance of the center and flanking position. Accordingly, the center-flanking status affects the rise and fall of great powers. Being on the flank is more beneficial to the rise of great powers than being in the center. Since modern times, hegemonic powers have come from the powerful flanks. This theory can be regarded as part of the efforts of Chinese international relations scholars to develop their own international relations theory.
【作者单位】：北京大学国际关系学院国际政治系
【分类号】：K901.4

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