农业生产、贸易开放和能源消费对特定新兴经济体环境的影响

发布时间：2021-08-08 06:25

　　由二氧化碳排放引起的气候变化造成了全球气候的持续威胁,重新点燃了全球倡导以尽可能坚定的态度应对二氧化碳排放负面影响的热情。在污染物排放方面,二氧化碳排放量在新兴经济体碳足迹中所占比例最高。大多数国家承诺支持1997年通过的《京都议定书》以应对全球变暖,新兴经济体也不例外。新兴经济体如巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非（金砖五国）等被认为是全球经济增长的主要支柱。这五个国家是全球碳排放最高的国家之一。尽管利益相关者通过执行《京都议定书》、世界贸易组织与《联合国气候变化框架公约》之间的多边贸易和环境谈判做出了努力,但全球温室气体排放仍呈现出令人担忧的趋势。一些实证研究工作已经探讨了农业生产、国际贸易和能源使用对发达国家和发展中国家环境的影响。大多数研究倾向于聚焦农业生产、国际贸易和能源使用对环境的影响。很少有研究试图捕获在个体国家层面每个变量的分类组成部分对实际二氧化碳排放量的确切影响。因此,本研究着眼于农业生产、国际贸易和能源消费这些不同组成部分对选定的新兴经济体潜在碳排放的影响。这些变量的个体组成部分分别是农作物生产（crop production,CRP）和牲畜生产（livestock ... 

【文章来源】：江苏大学江苏省

【文章页数】：189 页

【学位级别】：博士

【文章目录】：
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Research Background and Significance of the Study
    1.2 Research Objectives
    1.3 Research Questions
    1.4 Literature Review
        1.4.1 Agricultural production- carbon dioxide emissions nexus
        1.4.2 Testing the validity of disaggregated agriculture-induced Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC)
        1.4.3 International trade and carbon dioxide emissions:conceptual linkages
        1.4.4 Dynamic relationship between energy use and carbon dioxide emissions
        1.4.5 Linkage between economic growth and environmental pollution
        1.4.6 The causal interactions among industrialization,urbanization and carbon emissions
        1.4.7 The relationship between population and carbon dioxide emissions
        1.4.8 Artificial Neural Network(ANN)modelling of potential carbon dioxide emissions
        1.4.9 Key driving forces that influences the Environment
        1.4.10 Shortcomings in the current research work reviewed
        1.4.11 Motivation of the current study
    1.5 Innovation of the study
    1.6 Structure of the thesis
CHAPTER 2 RELATED CRITICAL THEORIES
    2.1 Theory of Change and Impact Pathway
    2.2 Environmental Kuznets Curve Theory
    2.3 Economic Growth Theories
    2.4 International Trade-Theory
    2.5 Energy Led Emissions Theory
    2.6 Modernization Theory
    2.7 Urban Growth Theories
CHAPTER 3 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT
    3.1 The Conceptual Framework
    3.2 Development of Research Hypothesis
        3.2.1 Hypothesis Based on Theory of Change and Impact Pathway
        3.2.2 Hypothesis Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve Theory
        3.2.3 Hypothesis based on Economic Growth Theories
        3.2.4 Hypothesis Based on International Trade Theory
        3.2.5 Hypothesis Based on Energy-Led growth Theory
        3.2.6 Hypothesis based on Modernization Theory
        3.2.7 Hypothesis Based on Urban Growth Theories
CHAPTER 4 METHODOLOGY
    4.1 Profile of selected BRICS countries
        4.1.1 Brazil
        4.1.2 People’s Republic of China
        4.1.3 India
        4.1.4 South Africa
    4.2 Trend of the sectors contribution of CO2 and non-CO2 in BRICS
    4.3 Data sources and description
    4.4 Global warming potential factors of greenhouse gases
        4.4.1 Sources of carbon dioxide equivalent emissions from agriculture activities
        4.4.2 Calculation of Agriculture carbon dioxide equivalent emissions
    4.5 Model Specifications for testing the study hypothesis
        4.5.1 Model Specifications on causal relationship between agricultural production and carbon dioxide emissions
        4.5.2 Empirical Model on test for the validity of disaggregated agriculture-induced Growth-Environmental pollution nexus
        4.5.3 Model Description on causal nexus between trade openness and environmental pollution
        4.5.4 Theoretical Framework on causal correlation between energy consumption and carbon emissions
        4.5.5 Model Estimation on prediction of potential carbon emissions of emerging economies
    4.6 Procedure for Preliminary Analysis
        4.6.1 Cross-sectional dependence test
        4.6.2 Testing for the slope of homogeneity
        4.6.3 Checking the level of integration of the variables
        4.6.4 Panel cointegration test
    4.7 Cointegration relationship estimation methods
    4.8 Causality test techniques
    4.9 Procedures used in predicting the potential carbon dioxide emissions
        4.9.1 The topology of the Neural Network
        4.9.2 Study design for prediction of potential carbon dioxide emissions
        4.9.3 The Predicting process
CHAPTER 5 PRELIMINARY RESULTS
    5.1 Descriptive Analysis
    5.2 Cross-Sectional Dependence test results
    5.3 Slope Homogeneity test results
    5.4 Results of integration test
    5.5 Panel cointegration test results
CHAPTER 6 EMPIRICAL RESULTS& DISCUSSION
    6.1 The causal relationship between agricultural production and carbon dioxide emissions
    6.2 Test for the validity of disaggregated agriculture-induced Growth-Environmental pollution nexus
    6.3 The causal nexus between trade openness and environmental pollution
    6.4 The causal correlation between energy consumption and carbon emissions
    6.5 Testing for the direction of causality
        6.5.1 Results on causal relationship between agricultural production and carbon dioxide emissions
        6.5.2 Results on test for the validity of disaggregated agriculture-induced Growth-Environmental pollution nexus
        6.5.3 Results on causal nexus between trade openness and environmental pollution
        6.5.4 Results on causal correlation between energy consumption and carbon emissions
    6.6 Prediction results on the potential carbon dioxide emissions of emerging economies
CHAPTER 7 CONCLUSIONS,POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
    7.1 The main Conclusions
    7.2 Policy Implications of the research findings
        7.2.1 Mitigation strategies to achieve Sustainable Development Goal2,7 and
        7.2.2 The pattern of induced form of Environmental Kuznets Curve
        7.2.3 International trade and environmental sustainability
        7.2.4 Prediction of the potential carbon dioxide emissions of emerging economies
    7.3 The Major Limitations of the Study
    7.4 Recommendations for future research
REFERENCES
GLOSSARY
APPENDICES
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
PUBLICATIONS



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