试析日韩安全合作关系新趋势——基于“复合同盟”理论视角

发布时间：2018-02-03 22:01

本文关键词： 日韩安全合作同盟理论差异性特征制约因素未来影响　出处：《学术界》2017年11期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：传统上,日韩是在以美国为核心的"轴辐式"(Hub-Spokes)安全架构下进行"准同盟"形式安全合作。随着日韩正式签署《军事情报保护协定》(GSOMIA)并围绕《物资劳务相互提供协定》(ACSA)展开进一步磋商,双方安全合作关系逐步加强并呈现出转向"同盟"[1]的趋势。但是,传统、单一的同盟理论并不能完全指出日韩转向"同盟"的行为动机,而整合各同盟理论流派观点的"复合同盟"视角能对双方行为做出更为科学客观的解释。本文认为,应对朝鲜威胁的主观意愿、制衡中国崛起的结构性压力和美国居间的不断撮合是促使日韩安全合作走向"同盟"的三重驱动力。然而,由于双方对具体国家利益关切角度的不同又分别显现出韩国侧重应对"威胁"而日本侧重实现"利益"的差异性特征。未来日韩走向"同盟"将受到双方在历史和领土问题上的分歧、国内政治的发展、对华和对朝政策的差异及中美、美朝关系等因素的制约。双方走向"同盟"的实质性举措也将对域内和域外利益相关国家及东北亚安全形势产生深刻影响。
[Abstract]:Traditionally. Japan and South Korea are engaged in "quasi-alliance" security cooperation under the "axis-spoke" Hub-Spokes-based security framework with the United States as the core. With the formal signing of the military Intelligence Protection Agreement (. GSOMIA) and further consultations on the Agreement on Mutual provision of goods and Services (ACSA). The relationship of security and cooperation between the two sides has been gradually strengthened and turned to "alliance". [However, the traditional and single theory of alliance can not completely point out the motive of Japan and South Korea to turn to "alliance". And the "composite alliance" angle of view which integrates the views of all kinds of alliance theory schools can make a more scientific and objective explanation to the behavior of both sides. This paper argues that the subjective will to deal with the threat to North Korea. The structural pressures to counterbalance China's rise and the continuing matchmaking between the United States and South Korea are the triple driving forces that push security co-operation between Japan and South Korea into an alliance. Due to the difference of the two sides' concerns about specific national interests, South Korea focuses on dealing with "threats" and Japan focuses on realizing "interests." in the future, Japan and South Korea will become "allies". There will be differences between the two sides on historical and territorial issues. The development of domestic politics, the difference of policy toward China and North Korea, and the difference between China and the United States. The substantial measures taken by the two sides towards the alliance will also have a profound impact on the security situation of the countries with interests outside the region and Northeast Asia.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学国际关系学院;
【分类号】：D831.26;D831.3
【正文快照】： 历史经验表明,对“同盟”形成动因的忽视,很可能引发灾难性后果并影响世界局势的走向。[2]一战前德国对1892年法俄结盟和1907年英俄关系缓和的错愕以及二战中日本单方面认为与德、意组成“轴心国”同盟将迫使美国在日本远东扩张计划上采取“忍让”态度的误判,都不同程度左右了

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