中美战略竞争与东亚安全态势

发布时间：2018-03-07 15:16

本文选题：中美战略竞争　切入点：东亚安全　出处：《现代国际关系》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：近几年,东亚地区安全矛盾呈现激化的态势,安全形势趋于紧张。这一明显变化受到中美两个大国力量对比的影响,但竞争态势上升的幅度与实力对比差异之间并不匹配。本文认为,理解当今国际体系的转型存在全球体系和地区体系两个基本分析层次,全球层次上的核心问题是美国霸权的兴衰与应对,地区层次上是中国崛起及其引起的战略反应。东亚地区安全形势走向紧张是由中美实力对比与信心对比脱节以及美国管理其地区盟友而引发的联盟政治动力所导致的。在这一过程中,中美战略互动的性质变化塑造着地区中小国家的战略选择,从而对中国周边战略环境的稳定性产生巨大影响。从既有的实力对比和实力增长势头出发,中国要维护持久发展和崛起的局面,需要着力管控中美战略竞争的强度和烈度,尤其是在全球层次避免过度挑战既有利益格局以及在地区层次规避中小国家的制衡倾向。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the security contradictions in East Asia have intensified and the security situation has tended to be tense. This obvious change is influenced by the balance of power between China and the United States. However, there is no match between the extent of rising competitive situation and the difference of strength. This paper argues that there are two basic levels of analysis to understand the transformation of the international system today: the global system and the regional system. The core issue at the global level is the rise and fall of American hegemony. The regional level is China's rise and its strategic response. Security tensions in East Asia are guided by the disconnect between China and the United States in terms of strength and confidence, and the political momentum of the alliance that the United States has brought about by managing its allies in the region. In the process, The changes in the nature of the strategic interaction between China and the United States shape the strategic choices of small and medium-sized countries in the region, thus having a great impact on the stability of China's surrounding strategic environment. In order to maintain the situation of sustainable development and rise, China needs to control the intensity and intensity of the strategic competition between China and the United States, especially to avoid excessive challenge to the existing interest pattern at the global level and to avoid the checks and balances of small and medium-sized countries at the regional level.
【作者单位】：南开大学周恩来政府管理学院;
【分类号】：D822.371.2

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