八国集团的现状评估及其未来发展

发布时间：2018-03-23 02:25

本文选题：八国集团　切入点：二十国集团　出处：《国际观察》2014年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：作为一项非正式国际制度,八国集团尽管饱受合法性和有效性质疑,但无论是协调宏观经济政策,还是应对新兴的全球性挑战,八国集团仍然是全球治理的重要力量。八国集团未来的发展将主要取决于其内部西方七国与俄罗斯的关系,以及在外部与二十国集团的关系。在乌克兰危机激化后,西方七国与俄罗斯的关系已发生质变:八国集团向七国集团"回归"在所难免;二十国集团尽管取代了八国集团在全球经济治理中的首要论坛地位,但后者在实力地位、制度有效性和政治凝聚力方面仍有继续存在的价值。因此,可以预见未来二十国集团尚无法完全取代八国集团的存在,两者应当构建一种良性的竞合关系,以共同推动全球治理的进步。
[Abstract]:As an informal international system, the Group of eight (G-8), despite being challenged by its legitimacy and effectiveness, has responded to emerging global challenges, whether by coordinating macroeconomic policies, The Group of eight continues to be an important force in global governance. The future development of the Group of eight will largely depend on its internal relations with the seven Western countries and with Russia, as well as external relations with the G-20. After the crisis in Ukraine intensifies, Relations between the seven Western countries and Russia have changed qualitatively: it is inevitable that the Group of eight will "return" to the Group of Seven; and the Group of Twenty has replaced the Group of eight as the leading forum in global economic governance, but the latter is in the position of power. There is still value in institutional effectiveness and political cohesion. Therefore, it is foreseeable that the G20 will not be able to completely replace the existence of the G-8 in the future. In order to jointly promote the progress of global governance.
【作者单位】：上海对外经贸大学国际战略与政策分析研究所;
【基金】：上海对外经贸大学“085工程”专题研究项目上海市高校青年教师培养资助计划的支持
【分类号】：D813

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