东亚安全困境之新变化及其思考

发布时间：2018-05-15 02:00

本文选题：东亚 + 安全困境　；参考：《世界经济与政治论坛》2014年03期

【摘要】：东亚安全困境由来已久,而近期日益发酵。目前,东亚安全困境的影响因素主要有:中美日之间基于实力变化之上的结构性矛盾;美日同盟关系的巩固或疏远;中美新型大国关系的发展前途;朝鲜半岛问题。地理环境、多方博弈与政治体制使东亚的安全困境具有自身的独特之处。未来东亚安全困境可能表现为:安全困境逐渐升级;安全困境得到有序管控;各方各退一步,在良性竞争中自然发展下去。中美关系与美国东亚联盟将继续在地区安全结构性矛盾中扮演核心角色。基于命运共同体的现实钳制,制度支持下的协作管控、良性互动是东亚安全困境的必由出路。中国的稳定强大是未来东亚安全困境避免恶化,稳定得以维持的关键。
[Abstract]:East Asian security dilemma has a long history, and the recent increasingly fermenting. At present, the influencing factors of East Asian security dilemma are: the structural contradiction based on the change of strength between China, the United States and Japan; the consolidation or alienation of the alliance between the United States and Japan; the prospect of the development of the new type of great power relationship between China and the United States; and the issue of the Korean Peninsula. Geographical environment, multi-party game and political system make the security dilemma of East Asia unique. In the future, the East Asian security dilemma may be shown as follows: the security dilemma is gradually upgraded; the security dilemma is controlled in an orderly manner; each side steps back and develops naturally in the benign competition. Sino-American relations and the United States East Asia Union will continue to play a central role in the structural contradictions of regional security. Based on the reality of the Community of Destiny and the cooperative control supported by the system, benign interaction is the inevitable solution to the security dilemma in East Asia. China's stability and strength are the key to avoiding deterioration and maintaining stability in East Asia in the future.
【作者单位】：辽宁大学国际关系学院;
【分类号】：D831

【参考文献】