中国联盟战略的可行性分析

发布时间：2018-07-10 13:14

本文选题：中国外交 + 联盟类型　；参考：《外交学院》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：联盟是国际政治舞台上极为常见的政治现象,也是大国博弈关键的战略手段。在冷战后期,中国为了维护本国的自主性,选择了不与任何超级大国结盟的战略;在冷战结束后的一段时间里,由于自身实力所限,中国选择了避免刺激美国的不结盟战略作为外交方针。随着“崛起国”中国国力的不断提升,不可避免的造成“守成国”美国的关注与围堵,在中国周边深化以及拓展同盟关系网是美国对华围堵战略的重要一环,然而对此中国并没有与之相对的有效战略手段。面对结构化矛盾日趋明显的中美关系,中国国内重拾结盟战略的呼声日益高涨,同时不结盟战略的维护者也竭力地宣扬不结盟战略的合理行与必要性。两方争论的焦点包括,现阶段国际政治生态面貌、中国战略的源动力、结盟的成本收益等。对此本文认为,一、现实主义的权力政治仍未过时,各国在可预见的未来仍然以其为基本准则行事,寄希望于“无实力的善意”对大国生存与发展是极其不负责的;二、在客观上,美国加紧围堵中国是事实,加之中国主观上止戈为武的传统战略思想,使得中国正视美国威胁并采取有效的震慑战略成为必然;三、无论是否采取结盟战略,美国对中国的警觉已然形成,所以,结盟战略带来的是,增大中国的军事保险、结交更多的真朋友与维护中国日益拓展的海外利益等优点。此外中国国内外环境的巨变、亚太地区大国关系发展的趋势、以及全球化过程中日益加深的利益纠葛等,都增加了结盟战略的可行性。本文的最后尝试给出应对“结盟阻力”的一些方案,同时也将谈及构建联盟体系时需面对的问题,如联盟类型、注意事项以及结盟优先方向等。
[Abstract]:Alliance is a very common political phenomenon on the international political stage, and also a key strategic means of big country game. In the late Cold War, in order to safeguard its autonomy, China chose not to ally with any superpower. In the period after the Cold War, due to its own strength, China chose the non-alignment strategy to avoid stimulating the United States as a diplomatic policy. With the continuous improvement of China's national strength as a "rising power", it is inevitable that the United States will pay close attention to and block the "conservative states." deepening and expanding the network of alliance relations around China is an important part of the United States' strategy of encircling China. However, China has no effective strategic means to deal with it. In the face of the increasingly obvious structural contradiction between China and the United States, the voice of the alliance strategy in China is rising day by day, and the defenders of the non-aligned strategy are trying their best to advocate the rational action and necessity of the non-alignment strategy. The two sides focus on the current international political ecology, the source of China's strategy, the cost and benefits of the alliance, and so on. This paper holds that, first, the power politics of realism is still not out of date, all countries still act on the basis of it for the foreseeable future, hoping that "no good will" is extremely irresponsible for the survival and development of the great powers; Objectively speaking, it is a fact that the United States has stepped up its containment of China, coupled with China's traditional strategic thinking of subjectively stopping war as a weapon, which makes it inevitable for China to face up to the threat of the United States and adopt an effective strategy of shock and awe. Third, whether or not it adopts an alliance strategy, The US is already alert to China, so the alliance strategy has the advantages of increasing China's military insurance, making more real friends and defending China's expanding overseas interests. In addition, the great changes in China's domestic and foreign environment, the trend of the development of the relations between the major powers in the Asia-Pacific region, and the deepening conflicts of interests in the process of globalization have all increased the feasibility of the alliance strategy. The last attempt of this paper is to give some solutions to deal with "alliance resistance", and at the same time, it will talk about the problems that need to be faced when constructing alliance system, such as alliance type, matters needing attention and the priority direction of alliance, etc.
【学位授予单位】：外交学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：D822.3

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