美朝核危机博弈
发布时间：2018-08-03 11:59
【摘要】： 朝核问题由来已久,一直是国际社会关注的热点问题之一。朝核危机的产生及演变有着深刻的历史背景和深层次原因,它是包含美朝两国国家利益和外交战略的较量以及涉及多国战略利益的复杂问题。朝核危机的直接当事国朝美一方面各自坚持自己的利益目标与政策而使双方的矛盾不断激化,一方面又均不愿意朝核危机升级,这样双方展开了核危机博弈,也使得朝核问题不断反复,久拖未决。美朝之间的危机博弈多次使得战争大有一触即发之势,也严重威胁东亚地区的和平与稳定。核危机博弈游戏的“负和”结局是美国和朝鲜以及东亚大国都不想要的结果。所以在中国的外交努力下创导的六方会谈和平机制成为各国普遍认同的解决朝核问题的方式。但是,朝核问题的复杂性使六方会谈一再陷入僵局。面对朝核问题的僵局,中国与相关各大国应该继续努力,重启六方会谈,推动朝核问题的和平解决迈向新的里程。
[Abstract]:The North Korean nuclear issue has a long history and has always been one of the hot issues concerned by the international community. The emergence and evolution of the North Korean nuclear crisis has a profound historical background and deep reasons. It is a complex issue involving the national interests and diplomatic strategies of the United States and North Korea and involving the strategic interests of many countries. On the one hand, the DPRK and the United States, which are directly involved in the North Korean nuclear crisis, on the one hand, adhere to their own interests, objectives and policies, thereby intensifying the contradictions between the two sides, on the other hand, they are unwilling to escalate the North Korean nuclear crisis. Thus, the two sides have started a nuclear crisis game. Also causes the North Korean nuclear issue to be repeated unceasingly, procrastinate for a long time. The crisis game between the United States and North Korea made war imminent and threatened the peace and stability of East Asia. The "negative sum" outcome of the nuclear crisis game is what the United States and North Korea, as well as East Asian powers, do not want. Therefore, the Six-Party talks peace mechanism, which was initiated under China's diplomatic efforts, has become a universally agreed way to resolve the North Korean nuclear issue. But the complexity of the North Korean nuclear issue has left the six-party talks deadlocked again and again. In the face of the deadlock over the North Korean nuclear issue, China and the major powers concerned should continue their efforts to restart the six-party talks and push for a new milestone in the peaceful settlement of the North Korean nuclear issue.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D815.2
本文编号：2161679
[Abstract]:The North Korean nuclear issue has a long history and has always been one of the hot issues concerned by the international community. The emergence and evolution of the North Korean nuclear crisis has a profound historical background and deep reasons. It is a complex issue involving the national interests and diplomatic strategies of the United States and North Korea and involving the strategic interests of many countries. On the one hand, the DPRK and the United States, which are directly involved in the North Korean nuclear crisis, on the one hand, adhere to their own interests, objectives and policies, thereby intensifying the contradictions between the two sides, on the other hand, they are unwilling to escalate the North Korean nuclear crisis. Thus, the two sides have started a nuclear crisis game. Also causes the North Korean nuclear issue to be repeated unceasingly, procrastinate for a long time. The crisis game between the United States and North Korea made war imminent and threatened the peace and stability of East Asia. The "negative sum" outcome of the nuclear crisis game is what the United States and North Korea, as well as East Asian powers, do not want. Therefore, the Six-Party talks peace mechanism, which was initiated under China's diplomatic efforts, has become a universally agreed way to resolve the North Korean nuclear issue. But the complexity of the North Korean nuclear issue has left the six-party talks deadlocked again and again. In the face of the deadlock over the North Korean nuclear issue, China and the major powers concerned should continue their efforts to restart the six-party talks and push for a new milestone in the peaceful settlement of the North Korean nuclear issue.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D815.2
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