当前中东安全局势及对中国中东外交的影响

发布时间：2018-10-31 21:01

【摘要】：中东变局三年多来,地区安全局势变得日益复杂。除了传统热点问题之外,由政治转型引发和激活的地区教俗、教派以及其他各种政治力量之间的斗争和社会矛盾正成为影响地区安全的新因素。埃及围绕支持和反对穆斯林兄弟会的政治博弈不仅造成该国社会分裂,也对地区稳定构成潜在威胁,叙利亚危机久拖不决致使地区极端主义思潮沉渣泛起、恐怖主义势力趁乱扩张并有向区外国家溢出之势。此外,美国战略重心东移导致原有地缘政治格局发生变化,造成地区国家之间关系出现新的紧张,而美俄等大国在中东乃至全球事务中的互动也对中东安全局势产生深刻的影响。未来相当长的时期里,中东传统热点问题依然是影响地区安全和地缘政治关系的主要因素,而持续深入转型将成为中东各国政治和社会发展的主要特征。中国与中东关系将基于这一趋势而发展,中国的中东外交也应以此为重点,更加积极主动地参与中东事务,促进热点问题的和平解决,并尽自己所能帮助中东国家实现平稳转型。
[Abstract]:For more than three years, the security situation in the Middle East has become increasingly complex. In addition to the traditional hot issues, the struggles and social contradictions between religious denominations and other political forces, which are triggered and activated by the political transformation, are becoming new factors affecting regional security. Egypt's political game over support and opposition to the Muslim Brotherhood has not only divided the country's society, but also posed a potential threat to regional stability. Terrorist forces are spreading and spilling over countries outside the region. In addition, the shift of the strategic focus of the United States to the east has led to changes in the original geopolitical pattern, resulting in new tensions in relations between countries in the region. However, the interaction between the United States and Russia in the Middle East and global affairs also has a profound impact on the security situation in the Middle East. For a long time in the future, the traditional hot issues in the Middle East will still be the main factors affecting the regional security and geopolitical relations, and the continuous in-depth transformation will be the main feature of the political and social development of the countries in the Middle East. China's relations with the Middle East will develop on the basis of this trend, and China's diplomacy in the Middle East should also take this as a key point and take a more active part in Middle East affairs and promote the peaceful settlement of hot issues. And to do what they can to help the Middle East countries to achieve a smooth transition.
【作者单位】：中国中东学会;上海国际问题研究院外交政策研究所;
【分类号】：D815.4

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