当前国际战略环境特点与走势

发布时间：2019-01-25 20:23

【摘要】：当前及未来一段时期,中国面临的国际战略环境将由五个维度构成:一是世界多极化趋势愈益凸显,增添国际和地区格局变动的不确定性;二是大国关系竞争面上升,尤其是围绕印度洋-太平洋-亚洲板块的地缘战略竞争和军事战略竞争明显加剧,安全色彩突出;三是国际现有规制持续变革调整,多种新规制应运而生,二者交织并存推动国际秩序和国际体系重构,增添了规则之争的紧迫性和长期性;四是中国与世界的相互作用向规制层面扩展深化,中国对世界的影响持续增大,中国发展面临的战略机遇期越来越取决于自身的世界定位和行为选择;五是中美合作的新空间、新亮点开始改变两国关系的结构和性质,机制化程度提高为双边关系稳定发展提供制度保障,危机管控机制能力建设推进使双方坚守不冲突、不对抗底线成为可能,人文交流大规模展开将厚植两国关系的社会基础。这些特点表明,中美新型大国关系形态正在显现,可能成为影响中国国际战略环境的重大利好因素。
[Abstract]:At present and in the future, the international strategic environment that China faces will be composed of five dimensions: first, the trend of world multipolarization is becoming more and more prominent, adding uncertainty to the changes of international and regional patterns; Second, the competition of great power relations is on the rise, especially the geo-strategic competition and military strategic competition around the Indian Ocean-Pacific-Asia plate are obviously intensified, and the color of security is prominent; Third, the international existing regulation continues to change the adjustment, many kinds of new regulations emerge as the times require, the two intertwined and coexists to promote the international order and the international system reconstruction, has increased the rule dispute urgency and the long-term nature; Fourth, the interaction between China and the world expands and deepens to the level of regulation, and China's influence on the world continues to increase. The period of strategic opportunity for China's development is more and more dependent on its own world orientation and behavior choice. Fifth, a new space for Sino-US cooperation. The new bright spots have begun to change the structure and nature of bilateral relations. The degree of institutionalization has increased to provide institutional guarantees for the stable development of bilateral relations. The development of the crisis control mechanism has enabled the two sides to adhere to no conflict. It is possible not to confront the bottom line, and a massive expansion of human exchange will underpin the social foundation of bilateral relations. These characteristics indicate that the new pattern of great power relations between China and the United States is emerging and may become a major positive factor affecting China's international strategic environment.
【作者单位】：中共中央党校国际战略研究所;
【分类号】：D815

【相似文献】