南海历史地理争端空间分布与关联性研究
发布时间：2019-03-04 14:39
【摘要】：南海占我国海洋国土的2/3,不仅是中国国家安全的天然屏障和重要的出海口与战略通道,而且是我国未来重要的能源接续区与资源基地、地缘政治经济问题的多发区。对南海争端发展态势进行空间分布与关联性GIS分析,是重要的辅助决策支持。结果表明:(1)文献研究和网络爬虫等方法可以快速有效地获取南海争端历史地理数据,GIS技术能够对南海争端历史地理数据进行时空变化的深入分析;(2)就争端事件的时间分布而言,事件数量随时间推进呈现显著增长,个别发生重大南海争端事件的年份出现突增的现象;(3)就争端事件的空间分布而言,与越南及菲律宾相关的南海争端事件尤甚,其他周边国家则相对较少,这主要源于越菲两国的战略利益与南海所在区域交叠,使得越菲不断挑起事端;(4)越南、菲律宾与马来西亚等国的利益诉求区主要位于南沙群岛,各国诉求区分布明确,局部交错。网络GIS技术丰富了历史地理研究的途径,为其提供了新的思路和方法。
[Abstract]:The South China Sea, which accounts for 2 to 3 of China's maritime territory, is not only a natural barrier to China's national security and an important outlet and strategic channel, but also an important energy contiguous area and resource base in the future, as well as a frequently occurring area of geopolitical and economic problems. Spatial distribution and relevance GIS analysis of dispute development in the South China Sea is an important auxiliary decision support. The results show that: (1) the methods of literature research and web crawler can obtain the historical geographic data of the South China Sea dispute quickly and effectively, and the GIS technology can analyze the spatial and temporal variation of the historical geographical data of the dispute in the South China Sea. (2) as far as the time distribution of dispute events is concerned, the number of events increases significantly with the advance of time, and the number of events in the South China Sea increases abruptly in the years in which major disputes occur in the South China Sea. (3) as far as the spatial distribution of disputes is concerned, the disputes in the South China Sea related to Vietnam and the Philippines are particularly serious, while the other neighbouring countries are relatively few. This is mainly due to the overlap between the strategic interests of the two countries and the region in which the South China Sea is located. Make Yue Fei incessant to stir up trouble; (4) the interest claim areas of Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia are mainly located in the Spratly Islands, and the appeal areas of each country are clearly distributed and partly crisscrossed. Network GIS technology enriches the way of historical geography research, and provides new ideas and methods for it.
【作者单位】： 江苏省地理信息技术重点实验室;中国南海研究协同创新中心;南京大学地理与海洋科学学院;
【基金】：国家高技术研究发展计划课题“南海及其邻域空间情势综合分析与决策模拟系统”(2012AA12A406)
【分类号】：P208.2;D815.3
[Abstract]:The South China Sea, which accounts for 2 to 3 of China's maritime territory, is not only a natural barrier to China's national security and an important outlet and strategic channel, but also an important energy contiguous area and resource base in the future, as well as a frequently occurring area of geopolitical and economic problems. Spatial distribution and relevance GIS analysis of dispute development in the South China Sea is an important auxiliary decision support. The results show that: (1) the methods of literature research and web crawler can obtain the historical geographic data of the South China Sea dispute quickly and effectively, and the GIS technology can analyze the spatial and temporal variation of the historical geographical data of the dispute in the South China Sea. (2) as far as the time distribution of dispute events is concerned, the number of events increases significantly with the advance of time, and the number of events in the South China Sea increases abruptly in the years in which major disputes occur in the South China Sea. (3) as far as the spatial distribution of disputes is concerned, the disputes in the South China Sea related to Vietnam and the Philippines are particularly serious, while the other neighbouring countries are relatively few. This is mainly due to the overlap between the strategic interests of the two countries and the region in which the South China Sea is located. Make Yue Fei incessant to stir up trouble; (4) the interest claim areas of Vietnam, the Philippines and Malaysia are mainly located in the Spratly Islands, and the appeal areas of each country are clearly distributed and partly crisscrossed. Network GIS technology enriches the way of historical geography research, and provides new ideas and methods for it.
【作者单位】： 江苏省地理信息技术重点实验室;中国南海研究协同创新中心;南京大学地理与海洋科学学院;
【基金】：国家高技术研究发展计划课题“南海及其邻域空间情势综合分析与决策模拟系统”(2012AA12A406)
【分类号】：P208.2;D815.3
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