菲律宾对华对冲战略评析
发布时间：2019-03-27 17:45
【摘要】：在全球化与大国崛起时代,相对弱小国家在面临邻近大国崛起时,常常不是单纯地进行制衡或追随,而是采取一种既接触又制衡的策略组合,即"对冲战略"。但这种战略在不同时期、不同国家都有不同表现,如制衡多于接触或接触多于制衡。文章试图以对冲的视角考察菲律宾对华政策的演变,并引入威胁感知和经济预期两个变量,分析菲对华对冲战略的影响因素及其对中菲关系的影响。
[Abstract]:In the era of globalization and the rise of great powers, relatively weak and small countries often do not simply check and balance or follow the rise of neighboring powers, but adopt a combination of both contact and checks and balances, that is, "hedging strategy". But at different times, different countries have different performances, such as more checks and balances than contacts or contacts more than checks and balances. This paper attempts to examine the evolution of Philippine policy towards China from the perspective of hedging, and introduces two variables, namely threat perception and economic expectation, to analyze the influencing factors of Philippine hedging strategy in China and its impact on Sino-Philippine relations.
【作者单位】： 中国现代国际关系研究院;
【分类号】：D822.334.1
[Abstract]:In the era of globalization and the rise of great powers, relatively weak and small countries often do not simply check and balance or follow the rise of neighboring powers, but adopt a combination of both contact and checks and balances, that is, "hedging strategy". But at different times, different countries have different performances, such as more checks and balances than contacts or contacts more than checks and balances. This paper attempts to examine the evolution of Philippine policy towards China from the perspective of hedging, and introduces two variables, namely threat perception and economic expectation, to analyze the influencing factors of Philippine hedging strategy in China and its impact on Sino-Philippine relations.
【作者单位】： 中国现代国际关系研究院;
【分类号】：D822.334.1
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