南海争端的博弈分析
发布时间：2019-06-21 15:38
【摘要】： 南沙群岛自古以来就是我国的神圣领土,随着南海地区资源的勘探,南海周边国家纷纷涉足南海地区,争夺南海岛礁,划分南海海域,我国南沙岛礁及海域被周边国家侵占和分割,资源遭到大量掠夺,因此本课题涉及到我国主权问题的研究,具有重要的现实意义与理论研究价值。 对南海争端的具体对策是目前学术界讨论的焦点之一,但尚未找到用博弈论及冲突分析方法作工具来解析南海争端的论文。本文首先运用辩证历史唯物主义观点分析了南海争端的历史以及现状,分析了南海争端五个历史阶段的划分。在此基础上,运用系统工程的理论与方法,应用博弈论模型推导了中国对南海争端政策集,在完全信息和不完全信息条件下分析了实施效果。运用冲突分析方法来建模,演化南海争端可能的均衡结局,对得到的均衡结局进行了评价与分析。该课题的研究成果将对我国解决南海争端所涉及到的领海主权问题,具有重要的参考价值。
[Abstract]:The Nansha Islands have been the sacred territory of our country since ancient times. With the exploration of the resources in the South China Sea area, the surrounding countries of the South China Sea have been involved in the South China Sea area, for the South China Sea islands and reefs, and the sea areas of the South China Sea are divided, and the Nansha Islands and the sea areas of our country are occupied and divided by the surrounding countries, and the resources are plundered. Therefore, it is of great practical significance and theoretical research value that the subject is concerned with the study of the sovereignty issue in China. The concrete countermeasure to the dispute in the South China Sea is one of the focus of the academic discussion at present, but the game theory and the conflict analysis method have not been found to resolve the dispute in the South China Sea. In this paper, the history and present situation of the South China Sea dispute are analyzed by the dialectical historical materialism, and the five historical stages of the South China Sea dispute are analyzed. On this basis, using the theory and method of the system engineering, the game theory model is applied to derive the policy set of the dispute policy of the South China Sea, and the real information and the incomplete information condition are analyzed. Application effect. Using the conflict analysis method to model and evolve the possible equilibrium outcome of the South China Sea dispute, the obtained equilibrium outcome is evaluated. The research results of the subject will be of great reference to the sovereignty of the territorial sea involved in the dispute over the South China Sea.
【学位授予单位】：西安电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D823
本文编号：2504184
[Abstract]:The Nansha Islands have been the sacred territory of our country since ancient times. With the exploration of the resources in the South China Sea area, the surrounding countries of the South China Sea have been involved in the South China Sea area, for the South China Sea islands and reefs, and the sea areas of the South China Sea are divided, and the Nansha Islands and the sea areas of our country are occupied and divided by the surrounding countries, and the resources are plundered. Therefore, it is of great practical significance and theoretical research value that the subject is concerned with the study of the sovereignty issue in China. The concrete countermeasure to the dispute in the South China Sea is one of the focus of the academic discussion at present, but the game theory and the conflict analysis method have not been found to resolve the dispute in the South China Sea. In this paper, the history and present situation of the South China Sea dispute are analyzed by the dialectical historical materialism, and the five historical stages of the South China Sea dispute are analyzed. On this basis, using the theory and method of the system engineering, the game theory model is applied to derive the policy set of the dispute policy of the South China Sea, and the real information and the incomplete information condition are analyzed. Application effect. Using the conflict analysis method to model and evolve the possible equilibrium outcome of the South China Sea dispute, the obtained equilibrium outcome is evaluated. The research results of the subject will be of great reference to the sovereignty of the territorial sea involved in the dispute over the South China Sea.
【学位授予单位】：西安电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2010
【分类号】：D823
【引证文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 许浩;;南海油气资源争端的冲突分析[J];创新;2013年05期
相关硕士学位论文 前6条
1 韩纪翔;专属经济区划界的理论与实践[D];华东政法大学;2011年
2 李奇泳;中国海洋油气产业演化机制研究[D];中国海洋大学;2011年
3 林青青;美国重返东南亚背景下的中越南海争端[D];暨南大学;2012年
4 肖瑶;印度介入南海的地缘政治影响及中国的对策[D];湖南大学;2011年
5 李新建;中越南海博弈的动态过程分析[D];华东师范大学;2012年
6 王斌;南海与东海争端之比较研究[D];华东政法大学;2012年
，本文编号：2504184
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