中国城镇化进程对碳强度的影响研究——基于脱钩指数与关联规则分析

发布时间：2018-01-03 10:03

本文关键词：中国城镇化进程对碳强度的影响研究——基于脱钩指数与关联规则分析　出处：《当代经济科学》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

更多相关文章： 城镇化 碳强度 脱钩指数 关联规则

【摘要】：文章以我国2003—2014年30个省级面板数据为研究样本,考察了各省份城镇化水平及其碳强度之间的脱钩关系和关联规则。首先,对城镇化水平与碳强度进行测度,并分析城镇化水平与碳强度之间的区域特征。其次,采用Tapio脱钩指数和追赶脱钩指数模型分析二者之间的动态演化轨迹,结果表明我国城镇化水平上升的同时碳强度不断下降,大部分省份的碳强度下降幅度大于城镇化水平增长幅度,并且追赶省份与模范省份的城镇化水平和碳强度的差距在不断缩小。最后,采用关联规则分析各省份状态转移结果,结果显示各省份城镇化水平与碳强度之间的关系向更优状态转移。
[Abstract]:Based on 30 provincial panel data from 2003 to 2014, this paper investigates the decoupling relationship and association rules between urbanization level and carbon intensity in each province. Measure the urbanization level and carbon intensity, and analyze the regional characteristics between urbanization level and carbon intensity. Secondly. The dynamic evolution trajectory between Tapio decoupling index and catch-up decoupling index is analyzed. The results show that the carbon intensity is decreasing while the urbanization level in China is rising. The decrease of carbon intensity in most provinces is greater than the increase of urbanization level, and the gap between urbanization level and carbon intensity of catch-up provinces and model provinces is narrowing. Finally. The relationship between urbanization level and carbon intensity in each province is analyzed by association rules, and the results show that the relationship between urbanization level and carbon intensity is better.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学经济与金融学院;
【分类号】：F299.21;X22
【正文快照】： 一、引言与文献回顾城镇化是伴随工业化发展,非农产业在城镇集聚、农村人口向城镇集中的自然历史过程,是人类社会发展的客观趋势,是城市发展现代化的重要标志。近年来中国城镇化速度明显加快,城镇化率大约每年提高1个百分点,于2011年首次超过50%,2016年达到57.35%,超过世界平

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