碳价格对我国工业部门竞争力及减排效应

发布时间：2018-01-07 00:30

本文关键词：碳价格对我国工业部门竞争力及减排效应　出处：《科技管理研究》2017年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：通过构建扩展的投入产出模型,模拟评价中国各部门因碳价格引入所承受的短期影响,并量化评估为缓解能源密集型和贸易暴露型部门的竞争力影响所采取的补偿减缓措施的效应。分析表明,短期内引入与发达国家相同水平碳价格会对我国产业竞争力产生严重损害,能源强度和碳排放强度高的部门承担了所有工业部门中的主要成本负担,能源密集型且高碳排放的行业因碳价格额外成本导致的价格水平上涨幅度和产出下降幅度更大,贸易暴露型部门如大部分制造业的出口下降幅度也较大;缓解措施模拟情景下,对关键部门的减缓效应达到原竞争力损失的70%左右,降低了对价格、产出和出口的负面影响,但产生的节能减排效果会有所削弱。因此,应结合我国不同部门的成本承受能力、需求价格弹性及对不同碳价格水平的反映程度进行调整,制定合适的碳价格策略或采取相应的缓解和补偿措施。
[Abstract]:Through the construction of an expanded input-output model, the short-term impact of carbon price introduction in various sectors in China is simulated and evaluated. The effects of compensatory mitigation measures to mitigate the impact of competitiveness in energy-intensive and trade-exposed sectors were quantified. In the short term, the introduction of the same level of carbon price as developed countries will seriously damage the competitiveness of our industry. The sectors with high energy intensity and carbon emission intensity bear the main cost burden in all industrial sectors. In energy-intensive and high-carbon emitting industries, the increase in price level and the decline in output due to the additional cost of carbon prices are even greater, as are the export declines in trade-exposed sectors such as most manufacturing industries; In the simulation scenario of mitigation measures, the mitigation effect on key sectors reached about 70% of the original competitiveness loss, reducing the negative impact on prices, output and exports. However, the effect of energy saving and emission reduction will be weakened. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust the price elasticity of demand and the reflection degree of different carbon price level according to the cost bearing capacity of different departments in China. Develop appropriate carbon price strategies or take appropriate mitigation and compensation measures.
【作者单位】：暨南大学经济学院//暨南大学资源环境与可持续发展研究所;广东环境保护工程职业学院环境科学研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目“基于强度减排的碳交易机制对产业竞争力影响的理论研究与ECGE模拟”(71273115) 广东环境保护工程职业学院院长基金项目“碳价格对工业部门经济影响及减排效果研究——基于广东省的投入产出模拟分析”(KY201502006)
【分类号】：X196;F424
【正文快照】： 1问题的提出在中国经济呈现新常态并且承诺2030年碳排放达峰的背景下,需要发挥市场化机制的基础性作用,发展绿色经济并完成达峰目标。稳定有效又与经济发展相适应的碳价格信号有助于倒逼产业转型升级、淘汰落后产能,利用环境政策实行供给侧的结构性改革。我国拟于2017年建立全

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