城市客运交通节能减排潜力分析——以镇江市为例

发布时间：2018-01-16 16:34

本文关键词：城市客运交通节能减排潜力分析——以镇江市为例　出处：《城市问题》2017年08期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于系统动力学的视角对城市客运交通网络进行建模,以镇江市为案例对城市客运交通能源消耗和碳排放进行了预测,通过情景设置分析评估了该市在城市客运交通方面的节能减排潜力。结果显示:镇江市的低碳交通规划政策在节能减排方面效果显著,到2030年时将累计产生153.23万吨标准煤的节能量以及322.46万吨的二氧化碳减排量。其中,私家车是城市客运交通能源消耗和碳减排的首要贡献者,从2011年开始,公交车作为更节能的优先出行方式,其在能源消耗和碳排放方面超过出租车,位居第二。最后,根据研究结果,从改善居民出行方式、提高新能源汽车比例、提高城市交通管理能效与客运水平等方面对镇江市城市交通节能减排提出了建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the view of system dynamics, the urban passenger transport network is modeled, and the energy consumption and carbon emissions of urban passenger transport are predicted by taking Zhenjiang City as a case study. The potential of energy saving and emission reduction in urban passenger transport is evaluated by scenario setting analysis. The results show that the low-carbon transportation planning policy in Zhenjiang has remarkable effect on energy saving and emission reduction. By 2030, it will generate one million five hundred and thirty-two thousand and three hundred tons of energy saving from standard coal and three million two hundred and twenty-four thousand and six hundred tons of carbon dioxide emissions. Private cars are the primary contributors of energy consumption and carbon emission reduction in urban passenger transport. Since 2011, buses as a more energy-efficient priority travel mode, its energy consumption and carbon emissions than taxis. Finally, according to the results of the study, from improving the way residents travel, to increase the proportion of new energy vehicles. Suggestions on improving energy efficiency of urban traffic management and level of passenger transport are put forward for energy saving and emission reduction of urban traffic in Zhenjiang City.
【作者单位】：中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所;交通运输部交通科学研究院;
【基金】：交通运输部能力建设项目(2015-JNJP-008-054)——交通运输领域能源节约与用能方式变革研究
【分类号】：F572.88;X322
【正文快照】： [修回日期]2017-04-18一引言交通运输业是承载人类社会经济活动的重要部门。随着我国城镇化进程的推进,交通运输行业的能源消耗和碳排放呈现出不断增长的趋势。在全球范围内的温室气体排放方面,交通运输业已超过工业和建筑业,成为排放量居第二位的部门[1]。而在各类交通运输方

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