京津冀绿色协同发展进程研究:基于空间环境库兹涅茨曲线的再检验

发布时间：2018-02-11 10:20

本文关键词： 京津冀环境规制工业经济污染成本环境库兹涅茨曲线　出处：《中国软科学》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文从环境规制视角,研究京津冀城市群的绿色发展进程。研究表明:当经济发展处于前工业化阶段时,环境质量呈现下降趋势;当经济发展处于工业经济阶段时,环境质量会在这一阶段呈现先下降后上升的趋势;当经济发展处于后工业经济阶段时,环境质量呈现持续上升趋势,即不断好转。京津冀的13个城市中,仅有2个城市(北京、天津)处于后工业经济阶段,石家庄、唐山位于工业经济后期,其他城市主要位于工业经济的中期。但进入后工业经济阶段的城市并未进入环境好转的情境,其主要原因在于地区间的空间交互影响作用。基于此,本文引入空间环境库兹涅茨曲线进行分析,实证结果发现,空间回归系数大于0,意味着污染存在溢出效应,使得环境规制严格区不能收获其严格规制带来的全部"收益",另一方面,环境规制同样存在空间关联,京津冀的"中心"城市呈现主动的"逐顶竞争"趋势,"外围"城市呈现被动的"逐低竞争"趋势,且邻近地区环境规制的提升,能够使本地区的环境质量得到改善,即京津冀地区的绿色发展是"一个整体",而不是单纯的一个城市或几个城市,环境质量的改善需要整个区域的集体努力,基于空间视角的环境治理思路势在必行。进一步深化一体化、有序化发展,打造工业低碳发展新动能是推进京津冀绿色协同进程的关键。
[Abstract]:From the perspective of environmental regulation, this paper studies the green development process of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration. The research shows that when the economic development is in the pre-industrialization stage, the environmental quality shows a downward trend, and when the economic development is in the industrial economic stage, The environmental quality will decrease first and then rise at this stage. When the economic development is in the post-industrial economic stage, the environmental quality will continue to increase, that is to say, the environmental quality will continue to improve. Only 2 of the 13 cities in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei). Tianjin) is in the post-industrial economic stage, Shijiazhuang and Tangshan are in the late stage of the industrial economy, while other cities are mainly in the middle of the industrial economy. But the cities that have entered the post-industrial economic stage have not entered the situation of environmental improvement. The main reason lies in the spatial interaction between regions. Based on this, the spatial environment Kuznets curve is introduced to analyze. The empirical results show that the spatial regression coefficient is greater than 0, which means that there is spillover effect of pollution. Therefore, the strict environmental regulation area can not reap all the "benefits" brought by strict regulation. On the other hand, environmental regulation also has spatial correlation. The "central" cities of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are showing an active trend of "top-by-top competition", while "peripheral" cities are showing a passive trend of "low competition", and the improvement of environmental regulation in neighboring areas can improve the environmental quality of the region. That is, the green development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is "one whole", not just one city or several cities. The improvement of environmental quality requires the collective efforts of the whole region. The idea of environmental governance based on spatial perspective is imperative. Further deepening integration, orderly development and building new kinetic energy of industrial low-carbon development are the key to promote the green coordination process between Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院京津冀协同发展智库/工业经济研究所;
【基金】：中国社会科学院京津冀协同发展智库课题“京津冀绿色发展的协同研究” 北京市社会科学基金重点项目“北京市自然资源资产负债表编制及其管理研究”(批准号:15JGA024) 中国博士后基金面上项目“经济转型与雾霾污染关系研究:跨国比较与空间计量实证”(项目编号:2016M591329)
【分类号】：F127;X22

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