安徽

发布时间：2018-02-26 16:08

本文关键词： 安徽省 “十三五” 大气污染物预测目标可达性　出处：《合肥工业大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：污染物总量控制是以环境质量目标为基本依据,对区域内各污染源的污染物的排放总量实施控制的管理制度,是实现环境质量目标的一项重要抓手。尽管在“十二五”期间,二氧化硫和氮氧化物作为主要的污染物控制因子被纳入到安徽省环境保护总量控制的重点当中,但是随着行业不断扩大,仅控制二氧化硫和氮氧化物的排放并不能有效的改善空气质量。为了更加有效地提升安徽省环境质量,本文将安徽省作为研究区域,从生活源、工业源、交通源等不同的污染物排放源头,对安徽省“十三五”期间二氧化硫、氮氧化物、挥发性有机物和氨在重点行业的新增排放量和减排潜力进行预测和计算,同时加入对挥发性有机物和氨的排放现状研究,最终提出污染物总量控制目标和环境质量目标,分析各污染物减排目标的可达性。本文通过对相关问题的调查研究得到的主要结论如下:(1)本文以“十三五”总量规划编制指南为计算依据,按照安徽省具体的工业发展情况对大气主要污染物SO_2、NO_x、VOCs和NH_3的新增量进行了分行业预测,作者预测结果认为“十三五”期间安徽省SO_2新增排放量7.23万吨,NO_x新增排放量30.44万吨,VOCs在2015年排放量115.72万吨,“十三五”期间新增排放量25.87万吨,NH_3在2015年排放量55.15万吨,“十三五”期间新增排放量12.92万吨。(2)进一步对SO_2、NO_x、VOCs和NH_3的减排潜力进行测算,通过在“十三五”期间对安徽省不同行业实施相应的减排手段,控制污染物排放,作者预测结果认为,到2020年,SO_2和NO_x可以减排25.36万吨和42.44万吨,VOCs可以减排34.93万吨,NH_3因现有条件的限制暂不对行业做减排量测算,其减排量即为新增量12.92万吨。(3)在预测以上四种污染物的新增量和减排潜力的基础上提出总量控制目标和环境质量目标,并分析各污染物减排目标的可达性,作者预测的结果认为,到2020年,安徽省SO_2和NO_x的减排目标可达,VOCs减排目标不可达,但由于本文对VOCs减排潜力的测算主要集中在工业方面,且减排潜力和减排目标之间相差仅2.51万吨,故减排前景乐观。
[Abstract]:The total quantity control of pollutants is based on the environmental quality target. It is a management system to control the total amount of pollutants discharged from various sources of pollution in the region. It is an important grasp to achieve the goal of environmental quality. Although during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, Sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxides, as major pollutant control factors, have been included in the overall control of environmental protection in Anhui Province, but with the expansion of the industry, Controlling the emission of sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide can not improve air quality effectively. In order to improve the environmental quality of Anhui Province more effectively, this paper regards Anhui Province as the research area, from the sources of life and industry, From different sources of pollutants such as transportation sources, the new emissions and emission reduction potential of sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, volatile organic compounds and ammonia in key industries in Anhui Province during the 13th Five-Year Plan period were predicted and calculated. At the same time, the emission status of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and ammonia (ammonia) was studied. Finally, the total pollutant control target and the environmental quality target were put forward. This paper analyzes the reachability of the emission reduction targets of various pollutants. The main conclusions obtained in this paper are as follows: 1) based on the guidelines for the formulation of the 13th Five-Year Plan, According to the specific industrial development situation in Anhui Province, the new volume of NH_3 and so _ 2C _ 2N _ 2O _ XV _ Cs and NH_3 were forecasted by industry. The author's forecast results show that the new emission of SO_2 in Anhui Province during the 13th Five-Year Plan period is 72,300 tons, the new emission of 304,400 tons of SO_2 is one million one hundred and fifty-seven thousand and two hundred tons in 2015, and the emission of 258,700 tons of NH _ 3 in 2015 is 551,500 tons during the 13th Five-Year Plan period in Anhui Province. Tons, additional emissions of 129,200 tons during the 13th Five-Year Plan period.) further calculation of the emission reduction potential of SO2NoxVOCs and NH_3. By implementing corresponding emission reduction measures to different industries in Anhui Province during the 13th Five-Year Plan to control pollutant emissions, the author predicted that, By 2020, NO_x and NO_x can reduce emissions by 253,600 tons and 424,400 tons respectively. On the basis of predicting the increase and potential of emission reduction of the above four pollutants, the total quantity control target and the environmental quality target are put forward, and the reachability of each pollutant emission reduction target is analyzed. The author predicted that by 2020, the emission reduction targets of SO_2 and NO_x in Anhui Province could not reach the emission reduction targets of VOCs. However, the estimation of VOCs emission reduction potential in this paper is mainly focused on industry. And the difference between emission reduction potential and emission reduction target is only 25,100 tons, so emission reduction prospects are optimistic.
【学位授予单位】：合肥工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X51

【相似文献】