长三角地区大气污染溢出网络特征及影响因素

发布时间：2018-03-14 03:25

本文选题：污染密集型产业　切入点：社会网络分析　出处：《杭州电子科技大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：长三角地区作为我国经济发展的重点区域之一,其发展模式与管理手段始终是国内关注的热点问题。然而该区域在经济效益增长的同时,伴生的生态环境问题却不容小觑。本文从社会科学视角出发,基于社会网络分析方法将长三角地区16个城市视为一个封闭网络,通过文献梳理说明了区域间污染溢出现象的客观存在。通过构建改进的引力模型,运用UCINET6.0软件测算与评估长三角地区污染溢出网络的网络密度、网络中心性以及块模型等指标。通过QAP回归分析方法,探究长三角地区污染溢出网络形成的影响因素,为该区域制定节能减排政策以及完善联防联控机制提供政策建议。研究结论表明:(1)我国大气污染密集型产业主要有8个行业。2006-2014年,长三角地区大气污染密集型产业总产值占比有所下降,大气污染排放量有所减少。(2)我国长三角地区污染溢出特征较为显著,2006-2014年,长三角地区各城市间大气污染密集型产业所造成的污染溢出现象并没有随着该区域的社会经济发展增速而加剧。(3)长三角地区大气污染溢出网络可以划分为4个板块,包括“经纪人模块”、“净受益模块”、“净溢出模块”和“双向溢出模块”,各板块的划分与地理结构特征相似且不同模块的功能属性有所不同。(4)长三角地区城市间的污染溢出更容易发生在空间距离邻近、能耗强度差异较小、工业化的水平差异较大以及投资开放度的差异较大的城市之间。
[Abstract]:As one of the key regions in China's economic development, the development mode and management means of the Yangtze River Delta region have always been a hot issue of domestic concern. However, while the economic benefits of the region are increasing, The accompanying ecological environment problem should not be underestimated. Based on the social network analysis method, this paper regards 16 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region as a closed network. The objective existence of inter-regional pollution spillover phenomenon is explained by combing the literature. By constructing an improved gravity model, the network density of pollution spillover network in Yangtze River Delta region is calculated and evaluated by using UCINET6.0 software. By means of QAP regression analysis, the factors influencing the formation of pollution spillover network in Yangtze River Delta region are explored. It provides policy advice for the region to formulate energy-saving and emission reduction policies and to improve the joint control mechanism. The conclusion of the study shows that there are mainly eight industries in China's air pollution intensive industries from 2006 to 2014. In the Yangtze River Delta region, the proportion of the total value of air pollution intensive industries has decreased, and the amount of air pollution emission has decreased. 2) the characteristics of pollution spillover in the Yangtze River Delta region are obvious in 2006-2014. The pollution spillover caused by air pollution intensive industries among cities in the Yangtze River Delta region has not been aggravated with the growth of social and economic development in the region.) the atmospheric pollution spillover network in the Yangtze River Delta region can be divided into four plates. Including "broker module", "net benefit module", "net overflow module" and "two-way overflow module", the division of each block is similar to the geographical structure characteristics and the functional attributes of different modules are different. Dye spillovers are more likely to occur in the proximity of space, The difference of energy consumption intensity is small, the level of industrialization is different, and the difference of investment openness is great among the cities.
【学位授予单位】：杭州电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X51

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